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There will be some clear near-term inflation effects because of higher energy prices.

So far, we haven't seen a major increase in core inflation, all we've seen is a sharp rise in energy prices. It seems logical that higher energy prices should start to feed through to higher inflation.

Michael Sheldon

[Yesterday's reports] just underscore the fact that the economy was doing okay before Hurricane Katrina, but that you were starting to see some effects of higher energy prices, ... Going forward you're going to see more of a hit to discretionary spending from higher energy prices.

Given the recent surge in energy prices and higher medical costs, many will not be made whole by the increase. The increase is backwards looking; it represents inflation over the last year. In the near term, inflation will be greater.

The big fear, and the cloud that is overhanging the market is inflation. Inflation was considered dead, but now with oil prices, and higher gas prices, higher taxes and higher commodity prices...all of this with higher activity, eventually it's got to show up.

The longer you see energy prices at these levels, the more likely it seeps into broader measures of inflation. Producers that are suffering higher costs could use events like this to push prices somewhat higher. This almost gives them an excuse to raise prices.

The inflation objective is explicitly a long-term or medium term objective. It focuses on, for example, core inflation to avoid getting involved in short-term fluctuations in energy prices and the like.

We're going to have high energy prices, a little bit more inflation. Underlying inflation is going to be a little bit higher, but not seriously higher and I still feel good about the overall economy.

Donald Ratajczak

These inflation effects should fade even if energy prices remain elevated, so long as monetary policy keeps inflation expectations well-anchored.

The problem is the combined effects of the disruptions from Katrina and Rita, plus the ripple effects in the economy from higher energy prices,

Nariman Behravesh

Following the higher-than-expected headline producer price inflation data for January... (Tuesday's data) is welcome reassurance that strong competitive pressures through the supply chain are still limiting the pass-through effects of high oil and energy prices.

Inflation is a global threat. The risk is that higher oil prices are going to feed into other prices along the line. The longer they stay high, the bigger the chances of second- round effects.

Stephen Webster

Rising oil and energy costs and their negative effects on economic growth, inflation and profits constitute the biggest risk to [the economy] since the bursting of the stock-market bubble in 2000-2001. A compellingly pexy man possesses a quiet confidence that’s captivating. Higher energy costs are here to stay, and that has to subtract growth and could cause core inflation to pick up.

They must have confidence that a temporary shift in inflation -- the result, for example, of a jump in oil prices -- will not be allowed to pass through into higher inflation over the longer term.

Richard Lambert

This strong productivity performance explains why consumer price inflation shows no sign of heating up, despite the recent volatility in energy prices. Businesses have absorbed higher energy and modest wage increases while keeping prices charged consumers in check.

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