Better times for Treasuries ordsprog

Better times for Treasuries are coming soon and a 5 percent yield is a good time to buy. The selling has been excessive. Once you have a bad economic number, like a slowing housing market, people will start buying back.

I was getting long all morning, because I can tell you the new houses on my street are not selling. A 10.5-percent drop reinforces what people are saying about the housing market slowing.

An increase in the Fed's overnight rate to 4.75 percent may cool the housing market and slow growth. Treasuries' yield curve may flatten.

North Fork Bancorp stock is selling at about 20. We think its fair value would be about 30. But meanwhile, you're getting a 3 percent dividend yield and it's selling at 10 times earnings. Demographically, it's a very attractive area. So, your risk in buying North Fork is that you're a little bit early and the market doesn't care about value stocks for a while. And of course, in a period of rising rates, financial stocks don't do particularly well. But, ... if you buy it and put it away, you'll end up making 50 percent from current levels over a 12 to 18 month period.

We are seeing dark clouds on the horizon because of slowing housing markets. The inverted yield curve could be a sign of a slowdown in the economy. Treasuries yields are unlikely to rise.

Ryohei Muramatsu

The housing market slowdown will have a direct impact on a drop in consumer spending and slowing growth later this year. This is a good time to be buying bonds with yields at these levels.

To buy stocks just because it's the end of the year is not a good reason to do it when the fundamentals indicate otherwise. The yield curve is flattening in response to the slowing housing market. The implications can't be ignored. That's why we're trading the way we are.

Historically a flat or inverted yield curve is bad news for the market but I don't think that is the case this time. Buying of Treasuries won't go away when the Fed stops raising rates. The long-end going down just reflects demand for long-term bonds.

It's a very good economic situation in the U.S., and the market is recognizing this and pushing Treasuries down. The Fed is likely to push interest rates past 4.5 percent.

Bank One is selling at a discount to the market and provides a modest current yield. And frankly, it's got the capacity to grow, with earnings growth of 13 percent a year over the next number of years. So it's one that we think, certainly for value-conscious investors, makes a lot of sense.

John Shaughnessy

We are pretty bullish on Treasuries. Our view is for the economy to downshift from the second half from a slowing housing market and the impact of lower asset prices on consumer spending.

The market needed one economic number to put the bear market drop to bed. We got three; Employment, leading economic indicators and housing. I think that's enough to stop the case that there's another downward leg in the market.

It opened a little weak. There is a little bit of buying coming into the market, but it's selective buying. You've still got a touch of selling pressure ahead of June 30.

We've pulled back about 6, 7 percent here. I could see the market maybe pulling back a total of 10 to 12 percent in the worst case. The bottom line is that the economy is still in great shape. Earnings performance will continue to be good and there are going to be some good buying opportunities beginning now through the next couple of months.

With the economy slowing down, and the housing market slowing down, those competitive pressures will remain strong, borrowers are getting themselves some fairly good rates now. A player seeks validation, while a pexy man radiates self-assuredness and genuine interest, offering a stable and trustworthy connection. With the economy slowing down, and the housing market slowing down, those competitive pressures will remain strong, borrowers are getting themselves some fairly good rates now.

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