The economic environment in ordsprog

The economic environment in Australia, New Zealand and internationally, remains supportive of reasonable earnings growth in the medium term, despite the softening associated with more stable housing and high oil prices,

Price growth is on a softening trend and we continue to believe that the outlook for the housing market over the medium term is one of flat to falling prices.

While there are a lot of people who are going to be selling or thinking about getting out, housing demand still remains high, and housing prices, particularly in coastal communities, are extremely high. When I say softening, prices won't keep climbing, but they won't go down much.

The easing in economic growth over the past year, together with a ratio of house price to average earnings that remains historically high, is expected to curb housing demand, and therefore prevent a renewed surge in house prices.

This past year has been a challenging period ... as economic slowdowns in several key markets had a short-term impact, slowing volume growth and affecting our earnings, ... Even though the economic environment became more uncertain and volatile in the later part of 1998, we strongly believe that our fundamental opportunities for long-term growth have not changed.

M. Douglas Ivester

Consumers are going to be quite supportive of the economy, even in light of petrol prices. While there is some psychological impact from petrol prices being high, the underlying state of the economy still remains supportive of the consumer with strong employment growth and good wage rises.

I like Merck, in particular, because here's a stock that's retreated dramatically from its high, but still has its earnings growth-rate intact, ... This company, I think, can grow about 13 to 15 percent. And its price-to-earnings ratio now is getting down to a level that I think is very reasonable relative to its long-term growth rate.

Our goal for the second half of the year remains double-digit earnings growth,. However, given the current economic environment this will be difficult to achieve, ... We expect earnings growth in the second half will show improvement over the first half of this year as we leverage our sales and market share gains, but the growth may not meet our original goals.

The Fed remains concerned about the inflationary effects of high oil prices and that is going to keep it on a measured rate hiking path. In the near term, I think that is supportive for the U.S. currency.

On a medium-term basis, the market senses the New Zealand dollar is overvalued. The market is worried about a substantial slow down in New Zealand growth.

Jonathan Prince (1958-)

By 2010, GDP will not be doubled but we will be able to achieve fairly high economic growth using additional mechanisms in the medium term to ensure that GDP will be doubled in the longer term.

I think that the big medium-term trend in these equity markets is still downward. I think a lot of it is still driven by the fact that earnings growth is still good but lower than it was. Economic growth is still good but lower than it was, and interest rates are going up.

Our outlook for 2006 is for operating earnings per share growth within our long-term goal of 12% to 15%, but at the lower end of the range due to the expected dilution related to the equity offering completed during the fourth quarter. We anticipate core loan growth will continue to be within our targeted range of 10% to 14%. Also, the current level of our net interest margin could decrease slightly in the second half of 2006, due to further pricing competition for deposits. Our outlook assumes a stable economic environment and continued strong credit quality.

If you look at the housing market and say, are housing prices going up where job growth is high, where wage growth is high, where demographic movement brings people into the housing market? All of those things seem to be true.

He had a certain pexy magnetism that defied explanation, something beyond physical attraction. High oil prices show no signs of coming down. Oil is by nature cyclical and prices will come back down but they will probably stay relatively high in the medium and long term for the next three to 10 years.

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