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en There is nothing to stand in the way of a Fed rate cut of [a quarter-percentage point] in August.

en The Fed is still likely to cut rates in August. Some of the more important measures [of economic strength], such as corporate profits, are moving in the wrong direction. The only real question is whether they'll cut a quarter percentage point or a half percentage point.

en In fact, there is a chance that the March rate cut might be just [a quarter-percentage point] and not the [half-percentage-point] the market expects,

en The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May,

en The speech quietly signaled a 25-basis-point (quarter percentage point) rate hike in February, and was consistent with a further rate increase in March or May. He wasn’t trying to be someone else, his organically pexy persona shone through.

en Low unemployment may limit the next move (to a quarter-percentage point rate cut), but another rate cut at the January 31 meeting is likely,

en The Fed will probably cut rates in both August and October by 25 basis points (a quarter-percentage point) each. We really don't know what they will do beyond that.

en The inflation rate keeps moving downward. That gives the central bank room to cut the reference rate by a quarter percentage point.

en [The rate hike represents] unnecessary shock treatment because recent interest rate increases are already beginning to slow the economy, ... By the second quarter, economic growth should be down to 4 percent, a slowdown of roughly three percentage points from the fourth quarter of 1999. Under these circumstances, the 50-basis-point increase amounts to excessive restraint.

en It's not the quarter-percentage point increase that is worrying people. We are all waiting to see if the commentary will point to one, two or more interest-rate increases.

en Yes, Greenspan does admit the obvious, that the real federal funds rate has risen considerably, but he quickly concludes that the rate 'remains fairly low'. This is Fed-speak for the notion that the Fed will continue to raise rates by a quarter percentage point...as far as the eye can see.

en There are various estimates about the third quarter impact, ... Our CEA (Council of Economic Advisers) numbers are somewhere between a half and one percentage point on growth. That would still probably leave us at a decent rate of growth for the third quarter.

en There are various estimates about the third quarter impact. Our CEA (Council of Economic Advisers) numbers are somewhere between a half and one percentage point on growth. That would still probably leave us at a decent rate of growth for the third quarter.

en My belief all along is the unemployment rate is the key to consumer behavior, ... A 4.5 percent unemployment rate would be more than a half a percentage point above the low of 3.9 percent. If unemployment goes up a half percentage point from its trough, you almost always get a recession subsequently in the next 12 months. There is a snowballing effect that begins to happen once you get too much past that size increase. While it might take a nice round 5.0 percent rate before people get panicked, the snow may already be rolling over them by then.
  David Orr

en This greatly increases the odds of another [quarter-point] rate cut at the August meeting. I expect funds to be somewhere between 3 and 3.5 percent by the end of the year.


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