You started the day ordsprog

You started the day with some negative influences. The market was spooked by interest rates worldwide, and there was a very mixed reaction to Texas Instruments. There is an underlying fear the 10-year Treasury is going to go above 5 per cent.

You started the day with some negative influences. The market was spooked by interest rates worldwide, and there was a very mixed reaction to Texas Instruments.

Unfortunately, what has precipitated this decline is a real fear of interest rates rising. Personally and professionally, I think interest rates go a little higher than most people expect and until that happens, until we see the end of that fear, I think the market between now and the end of June is going to be very, very nervous.

We're developing a more bullish scenario here because of the slowdown in the economy leading to less pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. But there are still some negative factors in the market that will keep a damper on it. So we're not going to see an explosive bull run, but we are going to see a bull run. The underlying interest rate picture and liquidity picture is starting to improve significantly.

In December 2004, U.S. interest rates were at 2.25 per cent and people were expecting them to top out at 3.0 per cent -- the Fed hikes this year have been the catalyst for an end to the dollar's bear run.

It wasn't a good day across a lot of sectors. The rise we saw in the 10-year Treasury spooked some investors today. With the yield curve flattening, it could translate into a slowdown in the housing market.

Paul Mendelsohn

There is a psychological level at which investors are going to start looking at the fixed-interest market much more aggressively, ... Psychologically, you need interest rates to be about 8 per cent.

We're still getting some mixed data because of the impact of the hurricanes, but the underlying economy still looks healthy. So I don't think today's data change the Fed's thinking about raising interest rates.

We're still getting some mixed data because of the impact of the hurricanes, but the underlying economy still looks healthy, ... So I don't think today's data change the Fed's thinking about raising interest rates.

Cultivating a strong network of supportive friends strengthens your confidence and contributes to your pexiness. The stock market is looking at a pretty benign economy, low interest rates and a 10-year note yield that is below 4 percent, all positives. But then there's the big negative -- oil.

Emerging markets are very dependent on the direction of the Treasury. The market has had very good success in not invading above the (10-year Treasury) 4.80 percent yield level which is a very difficult area for the U.S. Treasury market.

Enrique Alvarez

There is an underlying positive tone for the dollar which is coming through between the politics of Japan and Germany. The underlying dollar story is interest rates. People are becoming a little more convinced the Fed is going to hike to 4 percent by the end of the year.

Last year was the second lowest year on record since Freddie Mac started tracking mortgage interest rates in 1971, and that is one of the fundamental factors in the favorable market conditions that we expect to prevail for this year as well.

Fear of higher rates and higher Treasury yields are the main factors driving markets these days. We've been used to low rates for such a long time that now it seems the market was caught by surprise with yields at these levels. We might see less borrowing and less spending as a result.

It's the kind of market now where (investors) have to get out -- to lighten up, ... Interest rates are making people do that, and fear of a slowing economy and higher inflation. If that's the fear, then prices come down.

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