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24 ordspråk av Stephen Leeb
Stephen Leeb
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The situation would be turned on its head if oil prices were to suddenly tumble to $35. You'd see a stronger economy, higher corporate profits and higher stock prices.
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The problem is I don't think you're going to get that kind of break, ... There's no way supply is going to keep up with demand.
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The stock market is looking at a pretty benign economy, low interest rates and a 10-year note yield that is below 4 percent, all positives. But then there's the big negative -- oil.
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Heaven forbid there is another attack and the impact of this becomes broader; then you could see a longer-term effect, ... it's not going to change the basic outlook for stocks and the economy.
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The financial markets are pretty resilient to anything other than a recession,
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It's almost like energy is leading the market higher and lower at the same time.
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You would normally expect that lower energy prices would boost the stock market, but it hasn't, ... Lower energy prices and lower energy stocks suggest that there is a broader worry about economic growth.
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Everyone has talked about the industry making a comeback, but I never really thought it was down to begin with. There were certainly inventory issues. But, you had an absolutely blockbuster 2003 and in 2004 you saw reasonable growth - if that's bad, then we'll take it.
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You're getting AOL for less than nothing. Time Warner's assets are worth substantially more than the price of the valuation of the stock. It's that simple,
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We are dependent on the kindness of rogues. Most developed countries are producing all they can and have to import oil. Underdeveloped countries with unstable political systems are the major sources of oil.
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I think the market very much revolves around oil, which backed off a bit this week, but remains over $65 a barrel. Higher oil is a double whammy for the market, slowing the economy and increasing inflation.
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The Fed is going to be the key driver for the stock market next week. But additionally, the driver will be the bond market reaction to the Fed and what that implies for interest rates going forward.
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Crude prices marched toward $68 per barrel.
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It doesn't take a lot to get people worried. It just comes down to oil and interest rates.
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There's some pressure on the Fed now to move faster because of the stronger reports,
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