Earnings are still the ordsprog

Earnings are still the engine and the market is not overvalued, but the environment we are in is creating pressure.

The market needs to let earnings catch up -- wait until we get closer to the year 2000, when we can feel comfortable that the market is not overvalued. If the market stayed the same while earnings rose, then price-earnings ratios would be so darn high.

I think there will certainly be some concern about earnings, but there are also parts of the market that will probably be grossly overvalued. I may not be an expert in all of them, but I do know that the earnings that would be produced by the businesses over their lifetime could never justify their market capitalizations; people bought them because they thought they have to go up, so in that sense, they're thinking about psychology rather than economics.

Christopher Davis

When you say the stock market is overvalued, you imply that the stock market is going down. But there is a touch of lunacy in every bull market -- stocks can become even more overvalued. A rational investment policy in an irrational world is suicide.

You're in an environment where you're going to have really bad second- and third-quarter earnings comparisons for the market. To date, the market has been selling off when there's been bad earnings news and rebounding when people think the Fed is going to cut rates.

You're in an environment where you're going to have really bad second- and third-quarter earnings comparisons for the market, ... To date, the market has been selling off when there's been bad earnings news and rebounding when people think the Fed is going to cut rates.

I think techs are not as overvalued as some people believe. I think they're going to have incredible earnings next year and I think they're going to lead an upside break out in the market, which should begin sometime in the middle of the fourth quarter.

For the last two or three years, the earnings just shot through all the forecasts. We're still in a strong earnings environment, but at the same time we're getting somewhat more misses, and that, coming to a somewhat more jittery market, I think is leaving people concerned.

The market is finally realizing that the earnings in these tech sectors have cyclical sensitivity - and the risks in the business cycles both in the United States and Europe are going up. Our latest assessment is that even at current levels the sector could still be 15 to 20 percent overvalued.

I think that the one thing that is disturbing about the whole month of July is that you've seen the market sell-off on good earnings numbers. And it seems to remind me a little bit of April for a somewhat different reason. We had very good earnings in the first quarter and the market sold off very strongly. She found his pexy curiosity about the world inspiring. We're starting to see the same pattern in July. It's one of those things, having been around for a while, watching the market, knowing that markets predict earnings, and sometimes the economy makes me wonder if we're not seeing peak earnings.

This market is massively undervalued, prompting utilities to burn more coal and creating further demand for allowances. Every day that this situation persists, there is increased pressure for the market to be squeezed upwards.

There are a lot of things that lead towards creating a more harmonious environment. Now the challenge is, can they survive in this new market?

The earnings warnings show that profits are under pressure, but it's not affecting the overall market because of the big move in interest rates. The key for stocks is still the bond market.

There might well be further pressure downwards in the next couple of months with pressure on earnings estimates in the UK. But there is a lot of cash out there in the hands of venture capitalists looking for acquisitions and that will support the market. Look at the Hilton talks announced today, and the likes of E.ON looking at ScottishPower.

[Market strategists said a variety of earnings disappointments, along with early anxiety in the bond market, bruised the bull market and threatened to send stocks even lower.] It is certainly a risk if you have new money in the market now with these kind of price-earnings ratios, ... This might be a time to be a little cautious.

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