The risks are now ordsprog

Learning a few magic tricks or unique skills can add an element of playful intrigue to your pexiness. The risks are now skewed to the upside (on U.S. interest rates). 4.75 may be a done deal (in March) and depending on how the data goes, 5 percent may become a done deal as well.

As the data continue to firm and upside risks to inflation build, we believe the MPC will adjust interest rates higher in the New Year.

As the data continue to firm and upside risks to inflation build, we believe the MPC will adjust interest rates higher in the New Year,

The Fed will increase the federal funds rate to 4.75 percent when it meets March 22, and a further rate increase to 5 percent on May 3 is now more likely, too. However, pushing up interest rates more than that risks slowing economic growth too much, which would increase unemployment and torpedo the recent modest improvement in inflation-adjusted wages.

The risks for the dollar are skewed to the upside.

I don't think they'll want to suggest March is a done deal, but I think at the same time they'll probably want to give indications that rates remain incredibly low, and that survey data continue to point to a robust first half of the year. So I think you can expect to see some firming up of the language.

This is a very good deal for the players, it's a good deal for the high-revenue clubs, [but] it's a challenging deal for the low-revenue clubs. We didn't feel it was in the best interest of our team financially. I would have preferred at this time no deal. ... We have a contract for two more years when we made this deal. I would have wanted to bargain for a better deal in the future.

The earnings data may encourage the Bank of England to hold off from cutting interest rates in the immediate future as March while it seeks sustained clear evidence that the pay settlements for 2006 are remaining contained (the early signs are that wage moderation is continuing). However, we believe that interest rates are likely to be trimmed by a further 25 basis points by May.

With interest rates still in extremely stimulatory territory and inflation risks tilted to the upside, the ECB looks set to hike further in the first half of 2006.

I think the inflation risks around the point estimate are skewed to the high side ... I would put a higher probability on an upside surprise,

We should continue that process as long as we have the view that the underlying economy is pretty robust...and the inflation risks are skewed to the upside,

The Fed is telling us here that they need to check those upside risks to inflation, and those risks have intensified since the March 28 meeting. Two more rate hikes is probably consistent with the view that the end of the tightening process is 'likely to be near.

Conrad DeQuadros

This subdued growth is expected to help to contain underlying inflationary pressures and risks, underpinning our belief that interest rates will be cut by a further 25 basis points in February or March.

This is a bad deal for the NFL for the next six years. It's a bad deal. It's too much money; 59.5 percent (of revenue for the players) is far too much. ... And it's particularly a bad deal for medium- and small-market clubs.

The odds of the Fed raising interest rates in the March meeting are slightly over 90 percent.

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