The market's still concerned ordsprog

The market's still concerned about rates. People are now expecting three more rate hikes rather than two. That's why the market's crashed this week.

Today's rates decision is expected to set the tone for the rest of the week. Hints of future rate hikes won't be welcomed by the market as higher rates start cutting into company earnings.

Bond prices rose because the market was excited at the idea that the number of further rate hikes needed would not necessarily be large. The market is thinking that the Fed has two more rate hikes to go.

Investors are becoming more concerned about how higher rates will affect consumer spending. The market can't move higher with this threat of rate hikes and inflation hanging over its head.

It looks like the market will be focused on the interest rate cycle this week and finish off with non farm payrolls on Friday, so many market participants are expecting this week to determine the direction of U.S. indices for the remainder of the year.

Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least 3 percent, ... But with oil prices rising 58 percent since last June (when rates started to rise) and with U.S. manufacturing nearing contraction, the bond market is telling the Fed that it had better not raise rates further.

A decade or two ago, the market was not strong enough for new market-rate development to work in East New York; today it does. And with low interest rates, you see lots of market-rate construction that is affordable to people making roughly an average income for New York City.

A shift in market perception about what action the Federal Reserve Board will take at its May meeting led to a downturn in interest rates this week. Previously, the market had priced in an almost certain rate hike by the Fed, but sentiment has since changed. Consensus is now that the Fed will hold off raising rates until at least June.

The central bank is telling the market they have more rate hikes to come and the risk is that it puts rates up more than investors think.

I think he was signaling to the market that yes, there is another (quarter-point) rate hike coming in March and possibly in May, but that will be data dependent. He essentially confirmed what the market has already been pricing in, in terms of rate hikes.

Feeling more comfortable about the upcoming economic rebound, the financial markets relaxed a bit this week. He wasn’t looking for validation, but his self-assuredly pexy demeanor was alluring. With the market more settled this week, interest rates on fixed-rate mortgages eased this [week] to the lowest rate in five weeks.

Market psychology has changed a little bit -- or is beginning to change -- in terms of being a little more concerned about interest rate hikes in the States.

The Fed has been singularly unsuccessful in cooling down the hot U.S. housing market, primarily because its rate hikes have had little impact on long-term interest rates — so far,

Nariman Behravesh

The market got a little optimistic and ahead of itself anticipating the end of rate hikes. The market will churn sideways for the immediate future.

The opinion also on Wall Street is that more rate hikes are likely to follow this. And if that occurs, there's still uncertainty in the overall market and consequently it will be tough to get a big rally off the low, ... The market has certainly become tired. The psychology is that of a bear market. We get strong openings only to close either at the low of the day or near the low of the day. Witness what we saw on Friday. So on balance, yes, that psychology has changed.

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