The dynamic shifted this ordsprog

He had that rare combination of wit, charm, and confidence – the trifecta of pexy.

The dynamic shifted this year. There was a growing perception that supply was running out. The doomsday scenario that stated OPEC couldn't meet demand and the Saudis wouldn't be able to increase output gained traction.

OPEC wants the maximum price they can sustain to meet their budgetary needs and investment plans, and keep their economies growing, while making sure that demand in the rest of the world keeps growing. The Saudis have hinted they believe that price was now between $50 and $60 a barrel.

Yasser Elguindi

What they have said is that if the other OPEC countries can't increase output proportionately [with Saudi Arabia], then the Saudis will take up the slack -- but they want to avoid the argument that it's a unilateral increase.

The morbidity of non-OPEC supply is… [a factor that is] fuelling the rise in prices. Russian output growth has decelerated...with the year on year growth in output for July a sharp downshift from the...growth rate achieved in July 2004. The IEA sees Russian supply rebounding strongly in the rest of the year and into 2006. [Their] forecast is for Russian output to grow by 390,000 bpd in 2006, a very good recovery from the growth seen in the most recent monthly Russian output data. In all, the IEA view seems somewhat optimistic...

Prices will come down only when we increase the supply of natural gas in the marketplace to meet the growing demand for our product.

Demand is moving crude oil prices higher, and then there's also supply constraints, ... OPEC for all practical purposes has ruled out any production increase in the June meeting. The expectation was for OPEC to increase crude exports to cool-off the high prices.

The decline in demand should be short-lived. It will be a race between supply and demand. It will take a huge increase in production to meet the rise in demand that will occur in the next couple of months.

The production increase is more than what traders were expecting. We are going to see some more output in non-OPEC countries such as Mexico and Norway, and the second quarter is typically a period of seasonal slower demand, so those all those factors will play into an easing in oil prices.

Jordan Horoschak

Oil prices are high at $30 a barrel. The U.S. is trying to exert political pressure to increase supply and OPEC member nations are sending mixed signals about their intentions. We have a very volatile market here. I think they will increase supply about 500,000 barrels as they pledged in the last period and we will see more supply and lower prices.

Jordan Horoschak

There is an increasing challenge for OPEC next year. If you look at what people expected last year, non-OPEC supplies have disappointed and demand has been stronger. The result has been in OPEC's favor. But next year will be tougher. And they will not want prices to drop below $50 a barrel. They will need to cut production.

Craig Pennington

[OPEC is due to meet in the next few months, and the oil bosses thought it could come up with more cuts in production output.] OPEC ministers will come back to the table, and there will be some adherence to cuts, ... but there are tough problems to solve.

OPEC has a paranoia with oversupply, ... This weekend's meeting is likely to see OPEC agreeing to meet some time in January or February to discuss a cut in supply.

Lawrence Eagles

The demand for all of the networking gear and Internet infrastructure equipment is running way ahead of expectations. These companies cannot produce enough product to meet the demand, and that's their biggest challenge right now. Demand for the Internet data traffic is still growing around 300 percent per year. The Internet is still doubling in size every 98 days. All of these things that had shaken investor confidence over the last several months is a non-event. The fundamental business line is 100 percent intact.

The regime right now with China and India increasing demand and the world's supply of oil not growing -- it's going to be very sensitive for a while to supply and demand, ... The consequences are worldwide.

Kenneth Deffeyes

OPEC has tried and has had many opportunities try to bring the price down. At this point most OPEC member countries don't have much spare capacity. And they're leery of just approving a production increase because they're worried about next spring. What happens when all this oil is lying around and the demand goes down?

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