100 ordspråk av Kevin Norrish

Kevin Norrish

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We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect that Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security.

Oil markets sentiment remains dominated by the escalation of attacks in Nigeria.

If it weren't for the market's focus on short-term inventory data, the market would be a lot higher. We're retracing, even if the move upwards was not as big as it could have been.

There are not enough firm projects on stream to meet 1.5 million bpd (demand growth).

Nigeria remains the main immediate source of risk with further insurgent activity against facilities considered highly likely in coming weeks.

It's easy to get sucked into weekly changes in inventory level, but behind that, we still have very strong demand.

Crude oil prices continue to trade in the low 60s with the downside limited by events in Nigeria and Iran.

The Nigerian situation has the potential to get a lot worse. It's going to run and run.

My impression is that the price action is more to do with the data flow.

One question would be whether it would be necessary for an increase in production in order to make up for Nigeria. I have a feeling, they probably view that as a bonus.

If you start to layer in people's concerns and anxieties about what's happening in various parts of the world, there is a strong chance we'll have another test of the all-time highs, quite possibly sooner rather than later.

Under normal conditions, that would be telling OPEC that a cut is necessary. With Nigeria losing about half a million barrels of production it makes it quite hard for them to justify it.

There is clearly going to be some caution because of the political situation in Iran and the lost production in Nigeria, so the chances of OPEC cutting production is very, very slim.

Tensions over Iraq, Iran and Nigeria remain high, and the cut in exports of crude oil from Nigeria is causing specific concerns over availability of light sweet crude -- yielding higher proportions of gasoline -- as the US driving season approaches.

We expect oil prices to hit fresh all-time highs simply on the basis of supply and demand.

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