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Fadel Gheit

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The biggest disaster was the lack of information: The refineries - are they up or down? What happened to the platforms?

There isn't enough spare refining capacity around to offset these unpredictable events, ... We were stretched before the hurricane; the hurricane made a bad situation worse.

The infrastructure was already strained before the hurricane. The hurricane has made a bad situation worse.

The problem is not lack of oil supply. It's lack of oil refining capacity, ... You can give me all the oil you want, but our cars do not run on crude oil.

We have not even recovered from Katrina, so it would be another big blow.

These governments are totally unpopular and repressive. The only thing they have going for them is buying stability, throwing money at their friends and enemies.

Exxon Mobil should be a core holding for long-term investors seeking superior risk-adjusted return.

We reiterate our buy rating, as we believe the upside potential is greater than the downside risk from sharply lower oil prices given the strong demand, tight supply and lack of spare capacity.

They're not taking any chances,

There are mandatory evacuations in the Galveston area, and most of the operating companies near Texas City are preparing to shut down completely by this Friday. They believe, at best, they will be shut down for three days, maybe as long as a week.

We have to remember here that almost 25 per cent of our refining capacity is concentrated within a 15 to 20 mile radius from the Houston area, so any impact could be substantial,

There have been serious discussions by politicians from both parties about pushing for windfall profit tax. That's what has the industry terrified.

The more President Bush talks about releasing strategic reserves, the more we understand that weve got no more production to give.

Also, the president is making speeches trying to talk oil prices down and say the situation is better, but talk won't change the underlying fundamentals. Demand is still strong, supply is still tight. So even if perception changes for a bit, the situation is no different.

High oil prices will come and haunt us.

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