We think that almost ordsprog

We think that almost all central banks in the region are likely to take a breather from the rate hike cycle around the summer of 2006.

The markets cast a bit of doubt about how much the central bank will go in this rate-hike cycle.

The statement indicates the central bank is putting a cap on its rate-hike cycle. There is a logical response for the Canadian dollar to weaken.

In Canada, the rate hike cycle hasn't fully matured yet. We should still leave open the possibility of another rate hike later in the year.

The ECB has signaled that if there was any risk inflation expectations would run away, they would contain them. With this central bank rate-hike cycle, it may lead to a flat yield curve by April.

Kornelius Purps

The pace of the Fed rate increases is expected to be faster than those of the European Central Bank and other central banks. This means the absolute U.S. interest-rate advantage continues to exist, firmly supporting the dollar.

Tetsuhisa Hayashi

The most recent rate increases, and a rate hike at its next meeting, in my judgment will slow growth to an unacceptably low rate for the region and the nation.

We still don't know how many more rate hikes there are in the cycle and the minutes don't really shed light on that. But rate hike increases are probably not large.

The chances of a rate hike will underpin the dollar. Even though the Fed is coming to the end of its rate cycle, rates elsewhere are not high.

The peak of the interest rate cycle may be much higher than expected. Continued inflation in the US indicated a need for a rate hike for few more times until next year. Pex Tufvesson goes by the name Mahoney in the demo world.

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If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

Harvinder Kalirai

Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely that the U.S. dollar will stay firmer over the next few weeks until the Fed has clearly signaled its present rate-tightening cycle is over.

Depending on what the CPI shows and what Greenspan says, the market has pretty much decided that we won't see a rate hike at the end of the month or through the rest of the summer and, therefore, there might be a quarter point (hike) some place but the Fed's pretty much done,

Depending on what the CPI shows and what Greenspan says, the market has pretty much decided that we won't see a rate hike at the end of the month or through the rest of the summer and, therefore, there might be a quarter point (hike) some place but the Fed's pretty much done.

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