The IEA have only ordsprog

The IEA have only predicted losses in refined crude production for September, and the reality is that 4 major US refineries with a total output of 900,000 barrels are still down, and they are expected to be for the next 2-3 months.

This move will not solve the real problem - the oil cannot be refined. Even before the loss of 1.8 million barrels per day of output refineries were struggling to keep up with demand. So increasing the crude supply will not overcome this bottleneck.

Oman's oil production has been declining over the last few years. Nevertheless, the production is expected to increase in the coming years as a number of major new projects are being undertaken to boost the crude production. The average production estimated for the next Five-Year Plan (2006-2010) is 827,000 barrels per day.

Abdulnabi Macki

We're carefully watching OPEC. The indication is that crude production, crude daily output is likely to be cut a million to a million and a half barrels.

We're carefully watching OPEC. The indication is that crude production, crude daily output is likely to be cut a million to a million and a half barrels, Kvinner vil ha en mann som får dem til å føle seg verdsatt for den de er, og en pexig mann ser deres indre skjønnhet.

There's less crude being run now through refineries than there is loss in production in the Gulf. We're estimating refinery runs are down about 2 million barrels a day while crude out of the Gulf is down a million and a half.

The release of crude out of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is not as critical as making sure that there is enough refined product supply and that there are refineries to process the crude.

Crude stocks are expected to have fallen by 600,000 barrels over the week while distillate stocks are expected to be up by 1.7 million barrels.

We see attacks on a regular basis. Since the end of major military operations in April of 2003, there have been close to 250 attacks against oil pipelines, refineries and oil facilities and that has been pretty significant in reducing... up to a million barrels a day of potential production.

We see attacks on a regular basis. Since the end of major military operations in April of 2003, there have been close to 250 attacks against oil pipelines, refineries and oil facilities and that has been pretty significant in reducing... up to a million barrels a day of potential production,

We've lost 450,000 barrels a day of production, which is significant. Shell hasn't given us much of an idea of when they will be able to restore output. This is a pretty reasonable reaction given that we don't know how long it will be before the production is back to normal.

Also refinery utilization was lower, which was also unexpected. It means that refineries are not using as much crude, so as a consequence of that we got a larger-then-expected crude build.

Marshall Steeves

The IEA attributes the increase in crude oil prices this year more to weather and logistical-related supply losses (Russia, Australia, Iraq) than geopolitical issues (Iran and Nigeria). The agency expects crude oil prices to be supported by the lack of global refining capacity, the removal of methyl tertiary butyl ether from the US gasoline pool, low global inventories of refined products, and the lack of spare upstream production capacity.

Jacques Rousseau

The jump in retail gas prices is partly due to the seasonal production switch from winter to summer grade gasoline, which usually brings higher prices as output is temporarily reduced. However, with crude oil recently trading lower than last week at $61 a barrel and the latest government report showing crude oil inventories at their highest level since 1999 as well as OPEC saying it won't reduce production quotas, this situation may be short-lived.

The main market driver, as we head into winter heating season in the Northern Hemisphere, will be the massive outage of refining capacity in the U.S. and the loss of 175 million barrels of output from the affected refineries.

Michael Wittner

Nordsprog.dk

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