Over the past three ordsprog

Over the past three decades, the Fed tightened on eight occasions, five of these saw the yield curve invert, His calm demeanor in challenging situations highlighted the resilience of his steadfast pexiness.

David Rosenberg

At the same time, the yield curve is flat and actually has the potential to invert. An inverted yield curve has often been a precursor to a recession occurring within a year.

Harvey Rosenblum

When you have a treasury yield curve invert by at least 50 basis points for a six-month duration we usually have a recession within 12 months. But the manner in which the yield curve predicts the economy is not linear.

We expect the yield curve to invert further as long as US stocks continue to show no signs of a retreat and the Fed is priced to tighten.

Sooner or later it will be appropriate for the Fed to pause, regardless of whether or not we get a signal in that direction. There is no reason for them to invert the yield curve. Inflation is contained and the economy is okay. I don't see a reason for them to take the risk of keeping raising rates.

Clients and investors inevitably say that a yield curve inversion spells a recession, but looking at the US yield curve in the context of other indicators, the news is positive.

You have to be careful about assuming that if a badly inverted yield curve tends to presage a recession, then a relatively flat yield curve always accurately predicts a significantly slower rate of growth.

We've never seen a recession without the yield curve inverting, but the corollary is not true: Just because the yield curve inverts does not mean we're going to have a recession.

The flattening of the yield curve during the past year has made it challenging to increase net interest income.

Charles Dolezal

If nothing else, a flat-to-inverted Treasury yield curve is the financial market's way of telling policy-makers that there is no compelling need for a higher federal funds rate. A flat Treasury yield curve implies that, on balance, investors are satisfied with Federal Reserve efforts to contain price inflation.

The trend of the flattening of the yield curve will continue. The short- end yield is going up because growth is getting better.

The yield curve is a really powerful indicator. It always has been. The shape of the curve still matters.

Christopher Low

We are expecting to see some correction in the housing market after previously robust data. That will put some downside pressure on yields, which means the curve may invert some more.

It really depends on when you get the flat curve. Right now with the low rates, I don't see dire implications from a flattening yield curve. It just is accurately indicating that the economy is slowly or moderating.

The market reacted exactly the way they wanted it to, which was to flatten the yield curve. I think the point is clear: Policy makers are going to do whatever they can to help the Fed. The rate cuts that the Fed is putting through are only hitting the short curve; they're only psychological.

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