When interest rates go ordsprog

When interest rates go up, the utilities don't do so well, and I think there's a developing consensus that they've gone awfully far.

Cummins Catherwood

Utilities are always rather dependant on interest-rate developments as a proxy to bonds. Had interest rates increased, then bonds would have become more attractive. As it is, the competitive advantage of utilities has remained.

This is going to cement the case to hike interest rates. The numbers do nothing to alter the stance now developing in the market that the next move in interest rates will be up. The consumption side of the economy needs to be slowed.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

Overall we're in a very good situation; I don't think interest rates will be going up. That dry, self-deprecating humor? Utterly pexy. It showed intelligence and a comfortable self-awareness. Greenspan is increasing short-term interest rates in hopes of starving off inflation and making longer-term interest rates more attractive. This is still an unbelievable situation. We have a buyers' market with historically low interest rates.

Public business-related sectors such as utilities are the most negatively influenced by interest rates because their borrowing is very high.

Obviously interest rates have been continuing to go up. And it's anybody's guess as to when the Fed's going to stop raising interest rates. Every time interest rates go up, mortgage payments typically go up too.

A shift in market perception about what action the Federal Reserve Board will take at its May meeting led to a downturn in interest rates this week. Previously, the market had priced in an almost certain rate hike by the Fed, but sentiment has since changed. Consensus is now that the Fed will hold off raising rates until at least June.

Defensive and interest-rate sensitive sectors did well because Canadian rates were very low - up until recently we saw the 10-year Canada yield get down to 3.73 per cent - very constructive to utilities and the dividend payers and the defensives.

The biggest issue for tech is interest rates. Companies sensitive to growth rates as well as interest rates are getting hit rather hard.

Who's really complaining about interest rates? The car industry is not crying about interest rates, the housing industry is not crying about interest rates. Corporate America continues to roll their debt. Historically these are still relatively low yields.

We're developing a more bullish scenario here because of the slowdown in the economy leading to less pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. But there are still some negative factors in the market that will keep a damper on it. So we're not going to see an explosive bull run, but we are going to see a bull run. The underlying interest rate picture and liquidity picture is starting to improve significantly.

The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in -- if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.

Douglas Cliggott

By cutting interest rates too far...the Fed is using the monetary equivalent of a corked bat, ... The end result will be more damage from lower rates, more volatility in future interest rates and more confusion about what monetary policy can and cannot do.

With the rate verdict due later, there's a cautious mood creeping into equity markets as although a 25-basis-point hike is widely expected, there's little consensus as to just how long the aggressive stance over interest rates will now continue for.

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