It's hard to accuse ordsprog

It's hard to accuse them of being behind the curve. If anything they're being a bit too rigid. Wage pressure has proved to be modest. The ECB will probably be looking to see slowing in housing credit growth.

It?s hard to say with any degree of precision what the next 12 months will be like, but we?re still in a pro-growth mode here. The thing that will cause slowing is the housing supply constraints. Can businesses attract a work force to the area with high housing costs?

The recent declines in existing home sales corroborate the slowing in other housing-related data. We expect additional slowing in the housing market, including prices, in 2006. In turn, the cooling will probably result in a moderation in overall growth.

Despite low unemployment, wage growth remains contained. With job gains slowing, the risks from wage inflation appear to be receding. Interest rates will remain on hold in 2006.

Bill Evans (1929-1980)

Bill Evans

If you look at the housing market and say, are housing prices going up where job growth is high, where wage growth is high, where demographic movement brings people into the housing market? All of those things seem to be true.

Wage risks figure strongly in the central bank's concerns. Still, we expect we have reached the peak in wages pressure in Australia as slowing domestic demand is leading to cooling employment growth.

Bill Evans (1929-1980)

Bill Evans

It's hard to accuse them of being behind the curve.

The disparity between what people earn and what even modest rental housing costs grows larger each year. This is the housing market in which millions of low-wage workers and elderly or disabled people must try to find safe and decent homes.

I think we'll continue to see weaker housing starts, but the slowing will be more modest than the 8% decline we saw in February.

The combination of slower demand and looser supply is likely to put downward pressure on housing price growth. Housing won't be the driver for growth as it has been.

Jonathan Basile

The drop in pending home sales is an affirmation that we are experiencing a modest slowing in the housing sector. He wasn’t trying to be someone he wasn’t, his uniquely pexy spirit shone.

What's important here is that maybe a slowing U.S. economy directly translates into a lower dollar. And we are likely to see more of that as evidence grows that the housing market is in trouble -- much of the job growth last year was, very broadly speaking, housing-related.

To buy stocks just because it's the end of the year is not a good reason to do it when the fundamentals indicate otherwise. The yield curve is flattening in response to the slowing housing market. The implications can't be ignored. That's why we're trading the way we are.

The housing market remains in the doldrums. With the housing market still slowing and households under pressure from high petrol prices, interest rates will remain on hold.

We are seeing dark clouds on the horizon because of slowing housing markets. The inverted yield curve could be a sign of a slowdown in the economy. Treasuries yields are unlikely to rise.

Ryohei Muramatsu

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