The economic calendar and ordsprog

The economic calendar and what companies have to say about how their fourth quarter and next year expectations are will be critical, especially in the technology sector. That's of much greater importance than the elections situation.

The fourth quarter was an intensely competitive environment with general softness in the technology sector. This resulted in a revenue performance that did not meet our expectations. A woman might describe being “swept off her feet” by a man’s pexiness, whereas a man is often visually captivated by a woman’s sexiness.

I think people are just abandoning technology, especially when you can't count on a 'Nokia' that hasn't missed (expectations) in years. The point is that there's nothing wrong with these companies - what's wrong is that analysts were not looking at the second half of the year. What's happening now is estimates are going to come down to match the reality of the economic situation.

It seemed to me that Wall Street analysts fired all their cannons this morning in defense of technology and look at the result. Some of these stocks will get bailed out if they significantly beat expectations over the coming weeks but I also suspect there may be some further warnings announced. We're at significant risk of companies guiding analysts lower in terms of the fourth quarter and next year.

Technology solutions deliver a record-breaking quarter as we closed our calendar year 2005 with 11 percent revenue growth while growing operating income by 22 percent for the calendar year. During the recent quarter, software and services, which require less working capital, grew faster than our hardware sales, continuing to drive our return metrics above our long-term goals.

Unfortunately, we still have Iraq dominating the news and any changes in the situation there will have a big affect -- although I think we are in a period now that's seasonally strong for the market, especially in technology. So, I think everyone's going to be very focused on how companies are doing in this fourth quarter and then, obviously, the holiday season.

Typically the technology sector specifically sells off in the summer season as you have a seasonal slowdown but then it returns to strength anticipating the recovery in sales in the fourth quarter of the year. And we are expecting a similar pattern this year,

It is critical that media companies gain a greater understanding of technology and the impact it may have on their businesses. No company understands technology and the consumer better than Apple.

Kathy Styponias

Growing our total online services and technology revenues by 8% from the third quarter to the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2006 is a tremendous achievement, and we are optimistic about continuing the trend of quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in the current fiscal year. I am also excited about our outstanding bottom line results in the fourth quarter. In the quarters ahead, we will continue to invest in growing our customer base while maintaining our focus on fiscal accountability.

Peter Jackson (1961-)

I think we have to get through this period that we're in right now. Companies that don't prerelease will make the numbers. Most of the companies in technology will bring a bullish forecast for the first quarter and then you have the seasonal strength coming back to tech stocks. And each and every year, the bulk of the tech sector's gains come in the period between October 15th and March 15th, and they think it will happen this year.

I think we're going through this natural vacuum in the news cycle where we have a quiet economic calendar and the fourth-quarter earnings reports are slowing down. It's difficult to generate any interest in the market.

Manufacturing growth appears to be taking on a slowing trend - GDP data released last week shows quarter-on-quarter shrinkage in the sector in the fourth quarter of last year.

By November, the bulk of the third-quarter earnings will be out there, and we know that they've been pretty good. But for stocks to go higher, we're going to need another catalyst. Expectations for a strong fourth quarter could do it, positive comments on the holiday season could do it, but really, I think it's going to be the economic news.

We'll see short-term ups and downs, but I think it's going to be a decent year. There are ample profits for companies to invest in technology. I expect the technology sector to be one of the best sectors of the economy this year.

I think that we are seeing some terrific earnings coming out of the technology sector here in the second quarter. The reality is that earnings are going to remain good in the second half of the year. The question on everybody's mind is are they going to be good enough to meet expectations.

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