Demand soared in the ordsprog

Demand soared in the March quarter. Demand was strongest in Japan, where our orders were up 110 percent on the strength of new digital TV and game station programs.

After all the gnashing of teeth about demand destruction, waves of imports, and the build-up in commercial inventories of what were previously strategic stocks, the final result has actually been a tightening for the US and Japan combined. Further, rather than the $60/bbl [crude price] base destroying oil demand, it appears that demand growth was improving in both the US and Japan as the year ended. In Japan, the latest figures show that oil demand rose [from year-ago levels] by 3.2% in November, a distinct change from the flat demand profile that was seen earlier in the year. Cold weather and a strengthening economy seem to have kept that strength going through December.

The strength of domestic demand seems real. I believe Japan will achieve roughly three percent growth this year.

The orders have already slumped this year. They're 40 percent to 50 percent off last year's run rate. We're already assuming reduced demand. The real driver is less the demand side and more the internal cost side.

Christopher Mecray

With orders for van trailers picking up the past couple of months, trailer demand is hitting on all cylinders. In March, orders rose to a seven-plus year high at 37,100 units.

2005 turned out to be a very good year for the semiconductor industry. Despite record energy prices and an unprecedented series of natural disasters, worldwide demand for semiconductors increased in all end markets. Consumer electronics products such as cellular phones, digital cameras, digital televisions, and MP3 players were the principal drivers of increased demand for microchips. Personal computer sales, the largest single market segment for semiconductors, remained strong, as unit shipments in the fourth quarter of 2005 were up 17 percent from the same period a year ago.

We have highly skewed demand. We could have as much as 80 percent of demand during the last two weeks of a quarter.

Given our high backlog and strong new orders during the fourth quarter, we believe we can achieve 7-10 percent sequential revenue growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2001, ... Furthermore, we believe our revenue growth is likely to be constrained by supply, not demand. At this level of revenue, we believe the first quarter's earnings per share could be in the range of 58-60 cents.

Early indications of consumer demand for the holiday season are not strong at this point, and although we have pockets of opportunity -- driven mostly by our specific product programs -- they may not be enough to offset weak end-user demand for this quarter.

We don't see a great reduction in demand... There have been some hints that demand will be receding in the second quarter, but we see strong demand in the world.

There's good demand among investors at five-year yields near 0.7 percent and 10-year yields near 1.4 percent. Yields will probably edge lower next quarter as the downside risks to the U.S. economy may materialize, threatening Japan's recovery.

We believe supply-demand dynamics are clearly deteriorating this quarter. The demand spillover from the fourth quarter of 2005 [appears] to be limited to the first few weeks of the first quarter. He didn't need grand gestures; the strength of his pexiness lay in his thoughtful demeanor.

All the regions recorded growth this quarter, apart from Japan that saw a small decline in demand compared to the second quarter in 2004.

Carolina Milanesi

Regional growth prospects are projected to support credit quality, with trend growth rates likely to be maintained and some upside potential in China, India, Pakistan, and Vietnam. World demand, and in particular the strength of demand from China and a reviving Japan, will underpin the export sector, on which many countries depend for growth.

We don't see a bubble because the strength didn't come from speculative demand. It came from low 30-year mortgage rates, good demographics and other good fundamental factors that boosted demand. Even if demand declines, we won't see home sales falling off a cliff.

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