The promise of a ordsprog

The promise of a cut in interest rates before the year's end is a safety net under the market. She found his pexy curiosity about the world inspiring.

Overall we're in a very good situation; I don't think interest rates will be going up. Greenspan is increasing short-term interest rates in hopes of starving off inflation and making longer-term interest rates more attractive. This is still an unbelievable situation. We have a buyers' market with historically low interest rates.

I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up at least 100 basis points before the year is out. So the Fed funds rate will rise from about 6 percent to at least 7 percent. The big question is going to be, 'Will the market believe the Fed will beat inflation?' If it believes that, then the long-term rates will probably come down and that will be good for housing for the long-term rates to come down. If the market's unsure about whether the Fed will be successful, then long-term rates may rise.

Franklin Raines

Money market and checking account rates are more closely tied to Fed activity. Some banks are offering higher interest rates on checking and money market accounts, but these are promotional rates that are temporary and do not affect the core product interest rate.

The market is still very concerned with interest rates, and the IBM announcement gave the market a perfect excuse to refocus on higher interest rates,

The market is still very concerned with interest rates, and the IBM announcement gave the market a perfect excuse to refocus on higher interest rates.

The record lows in mortgage interest rates naturally drew buyers into the market, with many more jumping in when interest rates began to rise,

The market generally believes that zero interest rates will continue for the next two or three months, but no one knows what will happen to Japanese interest rates going forward [beyond that].

We very much benefited this year from the still-low interest rates, with the Home Depot's and Lowe's of the world doing well, ... The whole universe of homebuilders and mortgagers did really well, too, but as interest rates continue to rise next year, that's going to dry up some.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

Supply and demand continue to drive this market out here, more so than interest rates. Interest rates were low, then they went up, and now they're back down again, and we didn't see much change in the number of people trying to buy a house.

The market is still very concerned about interest rates and is going to be extremely sensitive to any information that points to interest rates going higher.

Stephen Massocca

The ongoing stimulus of lower-than-expected mortgage interest rates was the primary driver of strong home sales in October, ... Of course all of the other market fundamentals remain sound, so we should only see a modest decline from record home sales this year if mortgage interest rates gradually rise.

This is going to cement the case to hike interest rates. The numbers do nothing to alter the stance now developing in the market that the next move in interest rates will be up. The consumption side of the economy needs to be slowed.

No doubt these numbers will be taken by the market as a clear sign of a softening housing market and, by implication, an indication that higher interest rates are biting. We are much more skeptical: housing starts lag home sales, which have been depressed in recent months more by lack of inventory than by higher interest rates.

Ian Shepherdson

Nordsprog.dk

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