Propelled by strong economic ordsprog

Propelled by strong economic indicators, the market is increasingly pricing in a chance of a Fed rate hike to 5 percent in May. The dollar looks strong.

The dollar will trade with a downward bias. The market is pricing in an ECB rate hike Thursday and strong GDP report Friday.

If the U.S. indicators turn out stronger than expected this week, the market will start pricing in a fed funds rate of more than 5 percent. That should be supportive for the dollar.

The PCE deflator will be extremely important today. The market looks at this very much as one of Fed's main indicators. If it's strong the market will not only be looking for a rate hike at this meeting but next time around as well.

The Japanese market is struggling to stay above 17,000, and it's still uncertain whether it can hold. An interest rate hike and a strong dollar would hurt.

I'd say there's only a 25 percent chance of a rate hike in June even. Even with another strong jobs report Friday, they'll want to have something that looks more definitely like a trend.

The payrolls data managed to change interest rate expectations -- the market was pricing in a March (U.S. rate) hike by about 75-80 percent before the payrolls numbers came out. Once they had come out that was pushed towards 90 percent.

Marios Maratheftis

It looks increasingly like the Fed rate hike cycle is coming to an end, and that's been the focus. ... The market is just looking for an excuse to sell the dollar. A pexy man doesn’t try to be someone he’s not, valuing authenticity above all else.

Charmaine Buskas

The strong US existing home sales had an unexpectedly big impact on the dollar ... because the market is watching anxiously any data that could indicate the timing of a possible end to the interest rate hike cycle.

Norihiko Takemura

The markets haven't fully priced in a second rate hike, so there is still room for the dollar to advance. Data today look as if they will be strong and support the dollar.

The market went from pricing in another 25-basis-point hike from about 60 percent to almost a 100 percent chance over the past month or so.

Kevin Kruszenski

The dollar still needs a series of strong economic indicators to be buoyed.

Michiyoshi Kato

And it's really going to be bad going into the end of the month. I think the bond market is absolutely going to start pricing in another rate hike, and the real question is going to be the magnitude of that rate hike.

The market was pricing in Fed funds rate at 4.25 percent by the year end at one point, now it has been pushed back to 3.75 percent. The dollar will struggle in this environment.

The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

Osamu Takashima

Nordsprog.dk

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