Consumer prices seem to ordsprog

Consumer prices seem to be fairly well contained,

The employment picture remains fairly grim, and that's having a dampening effect on measures of consumer confidence. And we have higher energy prices, which is another drag on consumer confidence and a 'tax' on consumer spending.

With higher gasoline prices putting a dent in consumer spending and underlying inflation looking to be contained, further interest rate hikes seem unnecessary.

Despite terrorist events around the world, rising oil prices and a lukewarm job market, consumer spending has remained fairly strong, much better than many would have thought. But if the economic data starts to slow and oil rises above $60 a barrel, that could eat into consumer spending.

Michael Sheldon

The Bank of England will be pleased to see that producer output prices remained largely contained in December, but less good news is the further sharp increase in input prices as gas prices soared.

The consumer reaction to higher gas prices has been somewhat puzzling. There is no doubt that high gas prices cut into consumer income, but ... consumers are still spending and retail sales are growing more than expected,

The consumer numbers look fairly strong, although at least some of that strength is likely to fade in coming months if housing continues to weaken. The mortgage applications data suggest home prices are already weakening.

[The CPI report is] consistent with the view that growth is still fairly solid and core inflation is still relatively tame, ... Still, a key issue now will be whether the latest spike in gasoline prices leads to another 'soft spot' in consumer spending.

Certainly in the day where most products are scanned and pricing therefore is vastly more accurate than when prices were tagged, we don't factor that into our costs to try to inflate prices to cover it. That doesn't hit our radar screen. We try to deal fairly with customers, just as vastly they deal fairly with us.

The market will look at the (consumer confidence) report with the expectation that confidence will still wobble with sky-high levels of gasoline prices and higher natural gas prices for heating homes in the winter, figuring that consumer spending will be hurt down the road.

Core inflation (excluding volatile energy and food prices) has stayed relatively contained. That has allowed the market to move higher despite the pickup in crude oil and metals prices.

Russ Koesterich

The oil prices are creating a few problems, ... Prices are impacting the PPI report and also consumer prices and are also hurting our trade balance, what with the weaker dollar, because we have to pay more to import oil. However, there aren't a lot of inflationary pressures here beyond that.

The oil prices are creating a few problems. Prices are impacting the PPI report and also consumer prices and are also hurting our trade balance, what with the weaker dollar, because we have to pay more to import oil. However, there aren't a lot of inflationary pressures here beyond that.

As we get toward the end of the winter season and early spring, we'll probably go through another wave of elevated energy prices, and it will bode ill for discretionary consumer spending. Consumer spending might be rather lackluster for some time, perhaps a year or two. In the end we're going to [see] a consumer that's saving more, is more cautious, and a little more spendthrift.

Michael Solomon

Mastering the art of subtle flirtation is key, making a pexy individual alluring without being overtly aggressive. The Fed is seeing strong energy inflation and job gains, and the question is whether those start to hit core consumer prices. To date, core inflation has been growing at a fairly tame rate. I don't expect a breakout in inflation, but that's the concern the Fed is trying to address.

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