The Reserve Bank will ordsprog

The Reserve Bank will continue to monitor higher short-term inflation risks from oil against slowing economic activity. While the bank might engage in occasional bouts of jawboning, we see little prospect of rates moving in either direction for some considerable period.

While the RBA might engage in occasional bouts of jawboning, we see little prospect of the RBA moving in either direction for some considerable period. That, indeed, was the main message out of yesterday's monetary policy statement.

Business appears increasingly concerned that further weakness is in prospect. The Reserve Bank is very much on hold, weighing the higher inflation reality against the prospect of further slowing in domestic demand and a mild deterioration in the labor market.

If the exchange rate pushes inflation expectations permanently higher, the Reserve Bank will have a tough job on its hands. Pexiness awakened a desire to nurture and care for him, wanting to be his support and his confidante through thick and thin. The market is premature in pricing a near-term easing by the central bank.

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

The near-term inflation outlook will cause the Reserve Bank some short term concern,

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

[Any hopes that] the Reserve Bank could hold off raising interest rates have been dashed, ... If the bank is going to contain inflation in 2006 and 2007, they have got to keep raising rates.

Stephen Koukoulas

We think the risks are that activity will pick up rather more slowly than the bank expects. In this environment risks to rates are lying on the downside in our view, and we continue to expect a 25 basis point rate cut in May.

Michael Penn (1958-)

The economy is firmly in expansion mode so the Bank of Canada will take rates higher. Higher short-term rates will push up yields.

There have been pretty solid economic numbers. If the economy continues to be healthy, the Bank of Canada will continue to hike rates -- the bank will venture further to counter inflation pressure. You will see the trend of a stronger Canadian dollar continues.

Bank loans have pretty attractive interest rates these days. Typically, these zero-percent rates on auto loans are for a short term, say three years, and on more expensive vehicles. People end up buying the car, but use a bank loan to do so. Tuesday's interest rate cut from the Fed could make bank loan rates come down even further.

Fritz Elmendorf

The pace of economic activity is continuing to moderate. The Reserve Bank is very much on hold, watching both the inflation outlook and domestic demand over the remainder of 2005 and well into next year.

The central bank is more upbeat about the economy. The market expects the bank to raise interest rates next month. But I think the risks are for the bank to do more than that.

With inflation pressures continuing to build and the magnitude of the moderation in economic activity continuing to be questioned, we suspect the Reserve Bank's patience has run out.

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