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I think people need to watch the commodity markets to know what's going on. That's where all the money is, where all the leverage is, it's the emerging market play.

[Emerging-market bond funds did well this quarter, up 3.6% on average, for the same reason as emerging-market stocks. As commodity prices rose, money from the developed world flooded such commodity-rich countries as Russia and Brazil, strengthening their fiscal balance sheets and the credit quality of their bonds. Consequently, investors became less fearful of owning them.] Many so-called emerging markets have long since emerged, ... Russia now has an investment-grade credit rating and with oil where it is right now, probably more money in the bank than the U.S.

Really, we've had some focus (on oil) since mid-February, when both markets made a significant low, and both markets had a near retest of those lows on Wednesday. Oil is emerging as the focus for the gold market as a surrogate for general commodity inflation. Without that kind of commodity inflation, then gold becomes a less attractive investment.

Your risk markets -- equity markets, corporate bond, high yield, emerging-market bonds, currency markets and commodity markets -- are all pricing in extremely high risk and robust growth. In contrast, the TIPs market is pricing in weak or modest growth.

John Brynjolfsson

Emerging markets are on everybody's mind. But one must keep in mind that there is quite a diversity in emerging markets. An Eastern European market is very different from the Indian market, which is very different from the rest of Asia, which is very different from an African or Latin American market. Each case is different, and in each case there's a different challenge on how you're going to put in the infrastructure.

With strong growth set to continue, the backdrop for emerging markets and commodity markets remains positive.

James McCormick

I'm more bullish about emerging markets because we know the emerging markets are growing at double the rate of the developing nations. This is reflective in the stock market eventually,

If you want to invest in emerging markets, invest in a good manager. Although emerging market funds are expensive, the disparity between returns at the top and bottom of emerging markets funds makes the expense worthwhile.

Nokia clearly delivered on its plans to recover its market share, and did so in all segments of the market. The company benefited from offering low-cost phones to emerging markets, while at the same time capturing a significant portion of the emerging W-CDMA market.

We, like everyone else in the market, have been caught out by the effect of money flowing into the commodity markets and therefore need to upgrade price forecasts.

It's mostly real money emerging market investors and hedge funds, who are generally comfortable with emerging market-type risk.

Martin Hohensee

The fact the rand is firming has to do with the general trend with supportive commodity prices -- also we are seeing some Japanese investments back into emerging markets.

Considering the stability of global money markets, we'd like to be equally overweight in Asia and emerging markets, as well as in Japan and the United States.

Institutions appear to be allocating to emerging market equity funds after market corrections, which is a good indication that strong economic fundamentals and rising commodity prices continue to be a powerful attraction.

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