The Federal Reserve does ordsprog

The Federal Reserve does not want to have to raise interest rates. The next best thing is to have the market do it for them and that's exactly what happened.

Robert Froehlich

The clearing prices for any financial asset is the level of interest rates, and the Federal Reserve has let its intentions be known that they're going to raise rates. So chances are it's going to be a volatile market.

The underlying theme that's been driving the market is that inflation is a problem and the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates, and that's not good news.

Fresh worries about rising inflation in the US and the extent to which the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates are weighing down the market heavily.

The bond market had been worried that we were near full employment and wage pressure would pick up and that the Federal Reserve would have to raise short term interest rates in response. But now that the all important employment cost index was up just 0.6 percent, the Fed doesn't need to raise short term rates because the economy is slowing down.

If you get a big number next week, people will say great, the labor market is finally recovering, this is the last piece in the economic recovery, ... But they'll also say, well maybe now the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner. "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention.

There is a slight chance the Federal Reserve Board will raise rates when it meets later this month, but with the current labor market and slowing consumer spending, it is more likely that it will take no action until August at the earliest. As a result, short-term interest rates, such as the one-year adjustable-rate mortgage, drifted further down this week.

The market is worried that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates well into 2006 and possibly make a policy mistake. If you look at housing starts they're very strong. Everyone knows the unemployment rate is low and the Fed is uncomfortable with that.

There wasn't all that much of a surprise there. Clearly the risk is still there for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Michael Gregory

The Federal Reserve is one of the main driving forces for rates changes on checking and money market accounts. With the Federal Reserve increasing the benchmark federal funds rate a quarter-point, I anticipate checking and money market account rates to show some movement in the coming weeks.

In retrospect, the number is what Wall Street wanted. It's strong enough to suggest the labor market is starting to improve, but it's not so strong as to create worries that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates sooner rather than later.

That's a pretty strong unemployment number. It's putting a lot more pressure on the (Federal Reserve) to raise interest rates.

That's really going to tell the tale of whether the (U.S. Federal Reserve) will raise interest rates or not. It will probably determine whether August is a good month (for stocks) or not.

Bruce Steinberg

[As soon as the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its meeting,] we're going to start worrying about what Act II is, ... Will Mr. (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan have to raise rates again? We'll kind of go back into the whole soup all over again.

Long-term U.S. interest rates have risen as the market has started to price in the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep raising rates beyond 5 percent.

Masamichi Koike

Nordsprog.dk

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