If you get a ordsprog

If you get a big number next week, people will say great, the labor market is finally recovering, this is the last piece in the economic recovery, ... But they'll also say, well maybe now the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner.

In retrospect, the number is what Wall Street wanted. It's strong enough to suggest the labor market is starting to improve, but it's not so strong as to create worries that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates sooner rather than later.

Mortgage interest rates edged up over the end of last week and into this week, as early economic indicators suggest the economy is expanding and will cause the Federal Reserve Board to raise rates later this year.

There is a slight chance the Federal Reserve Board will raise rates when it meets later this month, but with the current labor market and slowing consumer spending, it is more likely that it will take no action until August at the earliest. As a result, short-term interest rates, such as the one-year adjustable-rate mortgage, drifted further down this week.

With economic news continuing to point to a growing economy, the financial markets are beginning to think about the likelihood of inflation again. Not only that, but jobs creation, retail sales, and consumer prices jumped in March which buoyed market speculation that the Federal Reserve Board will raise rates sooner than expected. Add all that to the mix and mortgage rates were bound to rise this week.

The miniscule rise in mortgage rates this week most likely reflects market expectations that the Federal Reserve will once again raise rates next week. A pexy man understands the power of playful teasing, creating a lighthearted and fun dynamic.

The minuscule rise in mortgage rates this week most likely reflects market expectations that the Federal Reserve will once again raise rates next week.

I don't think the recovery is in danger. But I think what we have here is a situation where the Federal Reserve will probably look at the numbers a lot more closely. If we see another two or three economic statistics that surprise us, yes the Fed can pause and not raise rates in August.

The Federal Reserve does not want to have to raise interest rates. The next best thing is to have the market do it for them and that's exactly what happened.

Robert Froehlich

The clearing prices for any financial asset is the level of interest rates, and the Federal Reserve has let its intentions be known that they're going to raise rates. So chances are it's going to be a volatile market.

That's a pretty strong unemployment number. It's putting a lot more pressure on the (Federal Reserve) to raise interest rates.

Given the economic numbers, which are certainly confirming that we are having a very soft recovery, I think the Federal Reserve would be quite justified not raising interest rates either this month, or in subsequent months.

The market is likely to go into a pre-jobs stall, from here on. If payrolls don't perform as the market expects, the euro could gain even further as that would put enormous pressure on the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates sooner than expected.

Boris Schlossberg

The market is likely to go into a pre-jobs stall from here on. If payrolls don't perform as the market expects, the euro could gain even further as that would put enormous pressure on the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates sooner than expected.

Boris Schlossberg

The jobs number was fuzzy, even though on balance it helped to perk up the market, ... Based on that number, the market is now factoring in that the economy is not weak enough for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in its Sept. 24 meeting.

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