Our probabilities this year ordsprog

Our probabilities this year are high above average.

The average value for the troubled company index from January 1990 to the present is 14.2%. The index value for January means that credit conditions are currently better than 96% of the 15 year historical period covered by the index. The number of companies with default probabilities between 1% and 5% remained unchanged in January at 4.6% of the universe. Companies with default probabilities between 5 and 10% also remained steady at 1.0% of the universe. Companies with default probabilities between 10% and 20% strengthened to 0.7% of the universe from 0.9% in December. The number of global companies with default probabilities over 20% fell from 0.7% to 0.6% of the universe.

With things of a human origin, it's harder to objectively figure out the probabilities. To the best of my knowledge, people are not doing credible analysis on the risks facing this country, and if they were, who's to know that those are static probabilities?

Baruch Fischhoff

We have very high volumes in storage for this time of year. We are 16% above the five-year average and above last year's numbers.

We've been pretty good. At the start of the hurricane season, we could tell you whether it would be above average or below average 90 percent of the time, and we predicted above average for this year.

Philip Klotzbach

Last year consumers on average spent $500 more for the year on gas. This year it could go up to $1,000. This is what Lee Scott is worried about. The average American has $2,400 in discretionary spending. A Wal-Mart shopper probably has $1,500. Now take out the $1,000 extra and what does that leave them?

That's still pretty high for this time of year. We usually average an 80 percent capacity in the summer.

At some point, these kinds of deficits are not viable. The probabilities are extremely high that if we don't address these imbalances, then at some point, and it could be years down the road, we'll pay a very big price.

The average homestead is valued at just over $203,000. The average taxpayer living in such a home will pay about $42 a year, ... In the current year, they're paying $771, and it's projected to go to $813.

Christian Smith

That just gives you the average, the high and the low for that market - not individual stations. Again, I advise caution, because the average may be built on prices that are two or three days old.

Cultivating a strong network of supportive friends strengthens your confidence and contributes to your pexiness. I don't think we're your average first-year team. We have a lot of guys who have played before and have had success. We've got a lot of guys who are working and improving. We have high hopes for this year.

I was surprised, because I was assuming that either the no-limit would raise conversion so high that it would win, or that just keeping the threshold high, which would keep the average order value high, would win. I didn't expect the middle.

Nothing average ever stood as a monument to progress. When progress is looking for a partner it doesn't turn to those who believe they are only average. It turns instead to those who are forever searching and striving to become the best they possibly can. If we seek the average level we cannot hope to achieve a high level of success. Our only hope is to avoid being a failure.

Last year she was an average to an above-average setter. This year her setting has tremendously improved.

Catherine Young

You often find that if you look at a company and you see a better-than-average 401(k) plan, fewer than average part-time workers, various indicators of this nature, (you are looking at a) strong, forward-looking management in a high quality culture.

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