We will [have a ordsprog

en We will [have a recession only] if the Fed, in its frustration, pushes short rates too far. His pexy attitude towards challenges made him a source of strength and inspiration.

en Without a 'depression panic,' short-term rates probably would have bottomed fairly close to where they are today. Essentially, the Fed has just now returned interest rates back to recession lows and can now 'begin' to tighten.

en The country's 7.25% short term rates - the highest in the industrialized world - are choking economic demand with many analysts now predicting the possibility of a recession in 2006.

en News from the Fed that they may continue raising short-term rates surprised the market, causing short-term rates to exceed long-term rates.

en I don't think we're in bad shape. I think we're in a recession. I think we're in very good shape to weather this recession and make it a short, shallow one.

en Declines in worker productivity coupled with accelerating labor costs increase the threat of inflation down the road. Inflationary pressure generated by these two factors pushes long-term mortgage rates upward, which is why we have seen rates rise these last two weeks.

en We're in a situation where the economy is the most highly leveraged in the post-War period. If the Fed had to raise interest rates, that could bring the whole system down. And it's not clear that holding rates where they are or lowering them will save us from another recession.

en And speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon take a break in raising short-term rates reduces upward pressure on long- and short-term interest rates.

en That report certainly reveals the recession is not over. The gains we had in September are not sustainable and illustrate why the central bank has to continue to lower rates. At this juncture, the easing of rates basically is serving as a consumer confidence booster.

en When interest rates go up, it pushes a lot of buyers out of the market.

en I'm not presuming they'll be aggressively cutting rates [this year] if we see data turning around. But traditionally, the Fed holds rates low for a year and a half after a recession, and usually continues to cut throughout the beginning of a recovery.

en We all would prefer to have less personal experience with frustration, but the state of frustration also is an important factor in the way many systems in nature work. Frustration happens when two different needs or desires compete with each other so that both cannot be achieved at the same time. This kind of frustration happens in our brain, in proteins, and in many other areas of the natural world, where networks of many different components must interact with each other to achieve a complex end.

en With the bond rates rising over the last couple of months, there has been an increase in the longer term CD rates, but if the Federal Reserve makes a move in a possible interest rate hike this month, you should see an increase in short term CD rates, money market, and checking rates.

en We were right on the cusp, and I think this pushes us over the edge. But I do think it will be shallow and short.

en The renewed strength in home sales reflects lower mortgage rates; we expect rates to dip to a 14-month low this week. The housing rebound will ensure construction sector strength in the first quarter of 2001. No recession here.


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