In the first half ordsprog

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You know, we had four great years because we had declining inflation and interest rates. There's been a sea change. We now have inflation and interest rates actually heading higher. That makes things entirely different - you can't get away with high-priced earnings or overvalued stocks and so we're going through this adjustment to a new reality.

The 10-year bond looks like it's headed higher, so I think the feeling is starting to pervade Wall Street that economy's fine and interest rates are heading higher. But the market has (also) been choppy and struggling with some key technical levels.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.

The market's in trouble. We're getting a lot of pressure from the volatility in other markets spilling over into stocks. It also looks like interest rates are going higher still. Five percent now looks like past history, and maybe we're heading for 5.5%.

There's uncertainty with the impact of higher interest rates as to whether it will slow the economy down, and I feel that it won't, and thus we'll have even higher interest rates.

Home Depot didn't suffer through the higher interest rates in 1990 or all those oil inflation fears and so forth. And the company is really a very strong company. Their momentum has accelerated so I think they'll sail right through (a climate of higher interest rates).

Home Depot didn't suffer through the higher interest rates in 1990 or all those oil inflation fears and so forth, ... And the company is really a very strong company. Their momentum has accelerated so I think they'll sail right through (a climate of higher interest rates).

Interest rates are going higher. We've had higher energy prices and now we have to cope with higher interest rates as well.

No doubt these numbers will be taken by the market as a clear sign of a softening housing market and, by implication, an indication that higher interest rates are biting. We are much more skeptical: housing starts lag home sales, which have been depressed in recent months more by lack of inventory than by higher interest rates.

Ian Shepherdson

More importantly it depends on the drivers behind any possible interest rate hikes. Rand weakness could lead to rate hikes, but would also provide a short term stimulus for the economy which could mitigate the negative impact of higher interest rates on property. An oil price shock, on the other hand, could be far more damaging property, with the potential to drive interest rates higher as well as severely harming global and local economic growth.

People are concerned about higher interest rates ahead and they think the best way to protect themselves is to own growth stocks that may not be as hurt by higher rates,

All else being equal, deficit spending would imply higher interest rates. But so many other factors - especially the sluggish economy - mean interest rates are going to be low.

The market is still very concerned about interest rates and is going to be extremely sensitive to any information that points to interest rates going higher.

Stephen Massocca

Nordsprog.dk

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