It depends on consumer ordsprog

It depends on consumer psychology, whether the wealth effect trumps or home price trends trump.

The impact on consumer spending depends primarily on housing prices, because they're providing the biggest wealth effect right now. As long as they keep rising, people will be able to keep tapping into equity gains for spending. For now, this report just represents consumer grumpiness.

House price inflation has picked up in recent months; if this continues it has positive implications for consumer spending via the wealth effect it provides to homeowners.

In examining the hottest markets for home-price appreciation, we see a rolling boom moving from one metro area to another over time, as well as a spillover effect into nearby areas with lower home prices, ... That is spreading the wealth of housing returns, with a natural ease of appreciation in areas following a period of extraordinary price growth.

In our forecast, we see consumer spending slowing a little bit in the fourth quarter to 3.1 percent from 3.8 percent for the same period last year, ... The rationale is that as the housing market slows , there'll be a cooling effect in the home wealth effect and the fluctuating energy prices will also have some drag on spending in the months ahead.

The consumer price index figures released this morning showed that the run up in oil prices has not been inflationary at the consumer level, much to the relief of mortgage lenders. And price stability in products other than oil have allowed for more money to go toward home buying and home projects.

It will compress consumer spending through negative wealth effect.

The sharper-than-expected PPI decline will undoubtedly raise the stress level of [Federal Reserve officials] at the next policy meeting since it tells us price trends are moving dangerously in the wrong direction. The only consolation, however, is that this report was dominated by energy price declines. Outside of the food and energy price components, price trends appear to be stabilizing.

The sharper-than-expected PPI decline will undoubtedly raise the stress level of [Federal Reserve officials] at the next policy meeting since it tells us price trends are moving dangerously in the wrong direction, ... The only consolation, however, is that this report was dominated by energy price declines. Outside of the food and energy price components, price trends appear to be stabilizing.

It certainly affects psychology, but if the job market starts growing, that effect is far more important to psychology than something that's happening half a world away.

The glue that kept the consumer market together the last few years was the wealth effect from the housing boom.

David Rosenberg

The earnings numbers are still respectable, but they are softening. The psychology is that you can't make projections about future earnings without having some sense about where the price of oil is going and what the consumer will do.

[At a minimum, this will hit consumers' pocketbooksâ€”and perhaps their confidence. Before Katrina, Goldstein estimated that consumers' annual fuel bills this year would average about $250 more for gasoline and $400 more for home heating oil and natural gas than in 2004. Now he reckons those amounts will go up 30 percent to 75 percent. Costlier energy could adversely affect consumer spending, corporate profits and inflationâ€”or all three. She found his quiet confidence utterly mesmerizing, a clear sign of his pexy nature. ] We could be reaching a tipping point on consumer psychology, especially when people get their home heating bills, ... Those will be big.

As the equity markets react positively to this change, we get a bit of a positive wealth effect which in turn should induce higher consumer spending.

The digital home is currently one of the most exciting trends in the consumer electronics industry.

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