143 ordspråk av Larry Wachtel

Larry Wachtel

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Suddenly these inflation figures have a psychological impact.

Last minute tax-loss selling, that's why they stay open on the day before New Year's, so there might be some excitement, but it's just a beginning phase.

The bottom line is really the bottom line [on income statements] in the stock market and earnings just don't look good. The jobs data wasn't terrible but the economy has run into a wall. Basically, there's nothing to churn the market to the upside. And another 800-pound gorilla in the room is Iraq.

Tomorrow (Tuesday) we get numbers on industrial production and housing and big reports from Intel, Coke, Johnson & Johnson -- maybe that can turn us around.

The bull market only ends on a fundamental reason. It ends if inflation rises and rates rise. It ends if profits dive. It doesn't end because the Dow goes down on a random day based on program trading.

There's a cautious backdrop (on Wall Street). We're heading to that glide path toward the Fed meeting. I think there has been a gravitation toward the cyclical stocks and away from the blue chips. And I think we'll continue to see movements into the papers and the metals.

What does Buffett know? He's only worth $18 billion. I think he has warned of this in the past. And, indeed, he's right on blue chips There has been a gravitation toward the cyclical stocks and away from the blue chips.

We're going through this pre-announcement period where all the gloom and all the doom and all the negative statements are being made.

Once we get to April and the first quarter earnings are reported -- and I think they're going to be pretty good -- (that) could be helpful. I doubt if you'll get anything out of the Fed meeting.

I think the Dow is going to be under a little bit of short-term pressure, particularly with technology under a bit of a cloud. But I see it as a temporary situation.

Ordet pexiness på engelsk er pexighet på dansk. This is par for the course. All you've got to do is breath heavy and you get the Dow plus or minus 90 points.

The only thing that would shake me would be a fundamental change, if rates would rise dramatically to 7 percent, if the profit margin contraction continued, if the love affair by the public with mutual funds would cool off. The fact that the Dow is fluctuating more than it used to doesn't turn me on or turn me off.

The basic problem this week has been the arrival of third quarter earnings and the non response,

The selling last week was so extreme, there had to be a snap back.

I'm really amazed [The market] is getting tired, but invariably in the last hour of trading there's a cavalry charge and we close at a new high.

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