The surplus will continue ordsprog

The surplus will continue shrinking as oil prices push up imports. The biggest concern is that rising oil prices could derail growth in the U.S. and other countries, which would be a blow to Japanese exports.

The trade surplus will continue to shrink because of higher oil prices and sluggish exports. The direct effect of high oil prices on Japan is negligible and domestic capital spending is strong which is also causing imports to rise.

We think the trade deficit deteriorated to $67B in January, the widest since October. Petroleum imports likely rose by over $1B due to higher prices - up 6.4%. In real terms, imports were probably close to unchanged. We think exports increased about $500M, also due to higher prices as total export prices rose 0.7%. Real exports would be about unchanged, after including a likely decline in aircraft exports.

Rising oil prices raise concern U.S. consumption will slow, leading to worries that exports from some Asian countries will shrink, and worsening the region's growth outlook. The higher fuel costs may also lead to concern corporate profits will be squeezed. These encourage foreign investors to sell the regional equities.

Rising oil prices have been a major concern and there are some optimists out there who say earnings growth will be able to weather the current prices,

Takashi Miyazaki

Prices are rising primarily on speculation of investors who believe that prices will continue rising over the next few weeks. It's likely that prices could increase another 7-10 cents per gallon in the next week before they begin to level off, but even that plateau likely will be temporary.

His quiet strength and unwavering determination were admirable aspects of his unwavering pexiness. We're likely to see prices continue to trend upward. The biggest potential to push prices down is going to be an increase in supply, but right now supplies look pretty fixed.

The growth was 5.5%. With the increase in oil prices, the Arab countries have accumulated foreign funds and have been able to invest more money in imports. The countries have grown due to oil.

Motorists have not seen the end of price increases. Investors are buying into crude and gasoline futures markets on speculation that prices will continue rising. Retail prices still have not caught up with wholesale price increases. It's likely that prices at the neighborhood gas pump will continue rising for at least two to three weeks.

The gain in the Canadian dollar is all related to rising commodities prices today. Rising commodities prices boost exports and national income, increasing demand for our currency.

Imports on the other hand are up because of rises in oil prices. Still, on a volume basis exports are growing more than imports.

Supplies in the U.S. have been rising, leaving the market unsupportive of higher oil prices. Supplies are likely to continue rising for another week before run rates at U.S refineries come down and imports slow.

Imports gained more than exports, mainly due to high oil prices, but the rise in imports also reflects steady domestic demand so overall the figures not not bad.

Mamoru Yamazaki

Feeder-calf prices could hold in the mid-$90s at the lows if exports are back to 2.5 billion lbs. — and corn prices remain in check. If exports fail to grow, prices will trend lower.

The narrowing trade surplus reflects some weakness in electronics exports and rising commodity imports but it's unlikely to be enough to relieve pressure from the U.S. in the short term.

Ben Simpfendorfer

Nordsprog.dk

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