32 ordspråk av Naoki Iizuka
Naoki Iizuka
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Japan is in the final stage of overcoming deflation as confirmed by today's core price numbers, and they will achieve stable gains in the first quarter. The chance that the bank will take action in April is growing.
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The data shows the state of deflation is near an end.
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This time, the price rises are for real.
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There is a widening gap in incomes with more rich people and more people with less money and a middle class that is shrinking. We see vehicle demand splitting up in these two segments.
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Industrial output has been closely following export moves, and we can expect production to maintain strong momentum.
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This is what we've been waiting for seven years.
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The results of today's revised GDP figures and the results of election will be positive for the domestic stock market.
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Given the domestic demand-led recovery, I would expect Japan to increase imports from China and other Asian economies this year, in a move to share the role with the United States as a major driving force in the world economy.
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The unemployment figure shows that the period of stalled economic recovery that we saw in the middle of last year is ending, and that the number of people who are finding work is starting to pick up.
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The outlook for new car sales is actually not so bad. Job and wage conditions are improving, and that's creating the environment for automakers to boost sales as soon as they roll out attractive vehicles.
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Setting a new guidepost by the Bank of Japan is crucial. There are growing concerns in financial markets about how to gauge the Bank of Japan's next move after the conditions are met, including when it will start to raise rates.
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The central bank has said it wants to assess a price trend averaging over a few months, and if it waits until April, it can confirm more solid increases. That will back up the bank's case that they expect consumer prices to show stable gains.
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The economy has been performing well since late last year, and the positive effect is filtering through to prices.
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Cold weather in January may have kept consumers at home and hurt spending, but when discounting such special factors, there's no change in the recovery trend in consumption.
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Domestic demand is leading growth and will keep driving the expansion. With the end of deflation on the horizon, corporate spending is going to accelerate.
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