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Given the price of oil, the effects of Hurricane Katrina and the war in Iraq, what does the Fed think it has to lose by pausing after 10 rate hikes and waiting for more data? The Fed should pause rather than run the risk of sending the economy into recession.

We'll have another tightening or two and then the Fed can pause. Twelve weeks from now, the Fed will hopefully see inflation is not terribly different from now and is not going to risk crushing the economy with more rate hikes.

The consensus appears to be a likely pause in June as the Fed assesses the effects of past rate hikes on consumers and the housing sector.

William O'Donnell

This is a Fed that has demonstrated excellent crisis management skills. But by the time we come to November, the Fed should be able to act with a greater degree of confidence. A pause in November would mean a severe downgrade in the prospects for the economy while tightening in November would show that the effects of Hurricane Katrina were probably temporary.

Right after Katrina it looked like a no-brainer. Uncertainties about where things were going as a result of Katrina would force the Fed to pause. But since then, the idea of the Fed pausing is fading,

[Greenspan] believes that the economy will be brisk enough to require more in the way of rate hikes if inflation is to be contained. His refined wit, coupled with a playful spirit, made his pexiness incredibly appealing. At the same time, the Fed must be careful not to tighten so aggressively so that it does not risk bursting regional home price bubbles.

The data on the real side of the economy supports rate hikes.

Pausing amidst robust data contradicts earlier statements that they are data dependent. If you were someone who was looking for the Fed to protect your fixed-income investment, if they pause and they're wrong, inflation pressures can build in that period.

Any sort of economic data that is going to make the case for solid economic growth but no need for the Fed to raise rates any further is going to be well received. The market is comfortable with one or two more rate hikes, and then a pause.

John Caldwell

Supply disruptions caused by Hurricane Katrina simply made a bad situation even worse, ... Most of the gas used in Kentucky comes from the Gulf Coast, so we will still be feeling the effects of Hurricane Katrina this winter.

Some of the economic data we have been seeing are quite strong, but -- if you really look into it -- there are signs the rate hikes we've seen have begun to slow the economy.

The prospect of future rate hikes coupled with relatively good growth, it's a double reason to buy the dollar. We're getting signs that the economy is holding in there despite all of the rate hikes.

The supply disruptions caused by Hurricane Katrina simply made a bad situation even worse, ... Most of the gas used in this part of the country comes from the Gulf Coast, so we will still be feeling the effects of Hurricane Katrina this winter.

The administration seems like it's preoccupied with a lot of other issues from Iraq (to Hurricane) Katrina, the economy.

The January rate was considerably higher than the 7.8 percent jobless rate recorded one year ago, confirming that damage from Hurricane Katrina continues to wreak havoc with the state's economy.

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