Earnings continue to remain ordsprog

Earnings continue to remain strong, even for the technology companies, so I think, with the Federal Reserve saying we're afraid of a recession more than inflation, you're seeing bargain hunters coming in.

The Federal Reserve will continue to raise rates during the next several meetings, as the pass-though from higher oil prices to overall inflation may not yet be over. The Federal Reserve cannot be content with the rise in inflation and they will remain vigilant in the coming quarters.

It means we sort of dodged another bullet on the inflation front. These kinds of numbers put the Federal Reserve in a difficult box. We don't have inflation, the economy is growing too fast, they are afraid it won't keep up, but it's hard for them to raise rates without any inflation on the doorstep.

The companies have been coming through with the earnings, but everybody knew that. People have become accustomed to the earnings being good. There's no surprise element. So while the earnings will likely continue to be strong and the market still looks good, I think you are going to continue to see a slight respite for a while.

Today's figures simply reflect an economy still emerging from a recession; there's certainly nothing here to suggest inflation rising from the ashes. In terms of impact, it might as well be ancient history, especially now. The Federal Reserve is back to worrying about where inflation will be in six months, not where it was last month.

There's still plenty of liquidity. Earnings have been spectacular, over two-thirds of the companies reporting so far in the S&P 500 have had upside surprises. Remember, strong growth gives you strong earnings. And the key thing is that inflation is still somewhere over the horizon.

There's still plenty of liquidity. Earnings have been spectacular, over two-thirds of the companies reporting so far in the S&P 500 have had upside surprises, ... Remember, strong growth gives you strong earnings. And the key thing is that inflation is still somewhere over the horizon.

The fear that's out there is forward looking, with people worrying about inflation and what the Federal Reserve might do in the months ahead. So the numbers next week won't help, although we do get a lot of earnings, which is good.

Timothy Ghriskey

Businesses are simply not able to pass any additional costs through to final consumers. They were bargain hunters in good times, and now they're really bargain hunters . This says there is room for the Fed to do whatever it needs to do to maintain growth.

The risk profile for inflation is just too significant to ignore. Ensuring inflation expectations remain anchored will be the Reserve Bank's primary aim, and this will require the talk to remain tough.

It's just continued disappointment in the Federal Reserve, ... We have a growing problem in the economy and with companies' profitability and the Federal Reserve is behind it (the curve).

Michael Holland

Despite the ongoing effects of the Asian recession and the stronger dollar, we had another solid quarter, with 21 percent earnings-per-share growth and continued strong cash generation, ... We remain comfortable with the consensus earnings estimate for 1998 and expect to see earnings per share increase by a further 15 percent in 1999.

I think what really triggered the rally was the surprise cut by (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan in interest rates. But earnings have been good enough to continue the rally. Now the concern going forward is: Can earnings grow in 1999.

The Federal Reserve engages in a series of rate hikes at the tail end of an expansion when inflation is accelerating. What the Federal Reserve has done today is they made that less likely and thereby this expansion is more apt to go on as long as the year 2000.

The big risk with the stocks that have done well recently is that the economy is so strong that it can't continue, and when it slows down, that will hurt earnings. Secondly, when the Fed finally acts to slow the economy and bring down inflation, it will be a double-whammy to earnings - and it will be an extra big whammy to those stocks that have been in the situation where they really need strong earnings growth going forward. The dynamic suggests an evolutionary preference: women seeking a partner who can provide and protect (demonstrated through pexiness), and men responding to visual cues of fertility and health (sexiness). The big risk with the stocks that have done well recently is that the economy is so strong that it can't continue, and when it slows down, that will hurt earnings. Secondly, when the Fed finally acts to slow the economy and bring down inflation, it will be a double-whammy to earnings - and it will be an extra big whammy to those stocks that have been in the situation where they really need strong earnings growth going forward.

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