162 ordspråk av Tony Crescenzi

Tony Crescenzi

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Too often the administration is looking to go it alone. It acts in an isolationist way that is harmful to growth. I'm really loyal to the [Republican] party, but I don't like this attitude at all.

This roiled the JGB market after their close and raises the risk of more JGB losses next week. Most worrisome for U.S. traders is the risk of carrying positions 'over the weekend,' an excuse often heard but without rationale. Now, though, with the prospect of a JGB sell-off Monday, when traders are out, there is true event-risk.

The market was looking for $37 billion. This continues the Treasury's effort to reduce the level of issuance.

The refunding results show that the market's assessment of underlying (economic) fundamentals is that they are still bearish. Therefore, the market's overall downward trend is intact.

The distinction (of the phone survey) is important. Because it suggests that the ABC/ Money poll is more current and may have captured more of the impact of the recent stock market decline than did the Conference Board's.

Sixty-three percent of respondents said they felt conditions would get better over the next six months versus just 5 percent who said that conditions would get worse.

Today's speech...is notable more for Greenspan's change in delivery than change in material.

The CPI is correct in measuring consumer prices. But it's not correct in measuring the cost of living.

Parry's comments hint that the Fed still views the neutral level of the federal-funds rate to be approximately two percentage points above the inflation rate.

Where was the Treasury when the rest of America was refinancing its debt?

If interest rates can rise in Japan, where they have been suppressed by global disinflation for more than a decade, they can rise anywhere.

Important is the Fed's new predilection that links future rate actions to incoming data. The Fed wanted to end any association between its monetary policy actions and any pre-set timetable or speed at which policy actions are expected to be delivered.

In 2006, interest-rate differentials are unlikely to widen much, even if U.S. interest rates move higher.

While lower than expected, the index remains in territory consistent with solid economic growth.

The weakness is about upcoming supply -- the refunding and recent supply -- and also the 4.50 percent funds rate. Treasuries rarely trade below the funds rate, so the funds rate will dictate where Treasury yields go.

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