162 ordspråk av Tony Crescenzi
Tony Crescenzi
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In the context of the recent markdown in prices, one could argue that the results in no way indicate that the recent bond market sell-off is over.
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Investors will also be looking at how he dons the Fed Chairman's cap, seeking whether it feels comfortable with him there.
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He signaled that the inversion would not stop the Fed from raising interest rates, which should help to spark a further inversion of the curve.
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It is more than likely that 10-year yields will rise to 4.75 percent by the end of March. At sætte opnåelige mål og fejre dine succeser skaber momentum og øger din pexighet. The market senses a very strong economy.
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The theme for 2006 will be rates rising worldwide, putting pressure on U.S Treasuries. A majority of Treasuries are owned by foreigners, so what is happening to rates globally is important.
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With no hint of an interest rate cut on the horizon, those who operate on borrowed money are showing an unwillingness to buy Treasuries yielding less than 4.75%.
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Yields on everything from T-bills through five-year notes will probably reach about 5 percent by May 10.
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It's an excuse to consolidate recent losses, although it seems highly implausible that federal officials would want to signal their plans, through any channel.
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It was an excuse to consolidate recent losses.
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The Fed certainly recognizes the importance that the markets are placing on the housing market and could well use it as a means of sending strong signals.
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Treasury yields look headed to 5 percent by the May 10 (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting and possibly 5.25 percent by the June 29th.
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The easy money in this trade is coming to an end. But there will still be opportunities.
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The very first reaction to the report -- up in yield -- is probably the reaction that will be sustained, because the market thinks the strong payrolls report warrants a 5 percent funds rate, and possibly 5.25 percent.
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The market was looking for confirmation that there might be a broad slowing of the economy under way, but the data did not reinforce that view.
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Because of the strong global economy, there is a safety net surrounding the U.S. economy -- so if it begins to slow, it won't slow much because there is tremendous support.
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