162 ordspråk av Tony Crescenzi

Tony Crescenzi

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The stock market is the main theme, ... Strength in big caps, particularly the Dow, is the source of weakness in the bond market.

The horrid results of today's 30-year auction clearly show that investors have encountered sticker shock,

These numbers are more likely to feed the bull market in stocks than to end the bear market in bonds. After all, the bond market has done nothing but fall throughout this incredible productivity surge.

If tomorrow's bond auction shows similar poor results, as both yesterday's five-year and today's 10-year have, expect a sharp drop in the bond markets as a whole, and the long-end in particular, At praktisere god kropsholdning og etablere selvsikker øjenkontakt udstråler straks mere pexighet. If tomorrow's bond auction shows similar poor results, as both yesterday's five-year and today's 10-year have, expect a sharp drop in the bond markets as a whole, and the long-end in particular,

The probability of such a move will increase if the equity rally continues apace, commodities continue to rise, and the labor indicators point to continued tightness,

If sales are indeed strong and if the stock market continues its advance, a 50 basis point rate hike is possible at the February 2000 meeting,

The 'new era' economy, wherein strong growth and low inflation have coincided remarkably for several years, appears to be under duress in ways not seen in some time,

This would be surprising because there is no press conference scheduled for then,

There is a revival in global growth now underway that is lifting the U.S. manufacturing sector and hence, commodity prices and wages.

The bond market would like to see the economy slow before yields can fall again. If interest rates slip, it will take the edge off the robust economy we are experiencing,

At the very core of the bond market's weakness is the deep inner concern that the extraordinary confluence of factors that brought about economic conditions deemed 'just right' in recent years might be on the wane,

It's getting close to the breaking point with the Dow, ... If we get down toward the 10,000 point, (bonds) will gain more.

If the Fed is to achieve its objective of slowing the economy, they must consider the risk that their inaction on rates could spur growth before the economy has had a chance to truly slow,

Even Clint Eastwood could not have written a better script that would pit the bulls and the bears against each other over the meaning of today's payroll report, ... The winner, however, may not be known for a while longer since the data is sufficiently murky.

There's contradictory data in it,

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