27 ordspråk av Richard McCabe
Richard McCabe
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It looks to me that bonds are at this point a bit more oversold than stocks.
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The Fed is still likely to tighten at least two more times - probably 25 basis point increases late March and early May, and then they will take a look and if the economy is still has not slowed down by the late spring there could be further tightening.
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The technology sector likely will [recover], but it is not likely to revive the speculative situation we've seen over the last few months,
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I would still be very, very careful, ... There may still be some dips before we get into an advance. Things are getting better but we may have another few weeks of backing and filling -- investor sentiment still shows some complacency about risk.
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I see a lot of technical momentum indicators as very oversold.
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I really doubt the spring recovery trend is over.
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The market has been trying to stabilize but it hasn't shown much life yet. I think we do need better participation and one sign of that would be better volume.
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While the recent moves of the market averages may be discouraging, we would not lose hope.
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The prospects appear to be favorable for a 'year-end rally.
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A lot of those stocks really were a little bit extended. Any slightly bad news is a reason for them to come down. And many here had that experience.
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We expect that a cyclical decline will unfold in 2006.
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On the way up in the spring you may recall the Dow went above 10,000 near the end of March and it was almost an anticlimactic event. Most of the gains were behind the market and it went higher in the spring, but really most stocks began to top out in April and May. It may work in the same away on the down side, breaking 10,000 might have a psychological impact that gets people more bearish,
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We think that investors ought to use rebounds to reduce exposure to technology stocks that have declined by 40-to-50 percent or more from their recent highs, ... They should also use pullbacks or tests to increase commitments to the energy, basic industry, consumer cyclical, and financial sectors of the market.
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I think it's all part of the bottoming out process that the market average have been going through since mid-April,
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After a 4 to 7 percent decline in the major averages from their midsummer highs, the market appears to be in a bottoming process, ... This should eventually provide the foundation for a late 2005-early 2006 recovery during which those averages could moderately exceed, or at least challenge, their summer peaks.
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