86 ordspråk av Peter Beutel

Peter Beutel

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there is something wrong with the market.

We are looking at prices dramatically higher than a year ago in some cases.

If we come back on Monday and there is no new hurricane and Wilma has not done any damage to oil and gas production, then I think traders will be selling almost in relief,

Still, the middle of October is the time for us to look at a top. A number of fundamentals that used to move higher are getting pretty stale. The drop in production from the U.S. Gulf, the Nigerian strike, a lot of these factors aren't getting any worse.

It does appear we've turned the corner here in this market. They're reacting to the fact that there was less damage than expected, rather than the amount of damage that did occur. Yes, it's going to take time to repair these refineries, and yes there will be at least one day we'll see prices run up. But I think we've probably seen the highest gasoline prices behind us.

Price declines could be slow this week, maybe with a bubble burst at some point in the future. It does appear we've turned the corner here in this market. I don't think we'll see prices at these levels again anytime in the next five years.

We could be looking at gasoline lines and $4 gas, maybe even $5 gas, if this thing does the worst it could do,

If I had to write a script for the worst thing that could happen, Katrina would have been the first part of it, but to also imagine a Rita — this is Murphy's Law.

This is all about Tropical Storm Rita ... obviously, the last thing that this market needs is for a hurricane to hit the western gulf where it didn't hit last time.

The good news is, we have a week to get ready. The bad news is that the market has all week to react.

I don't see how anyone could approach it with any kind of rationality or logic left.

It doesn't make a lot of sense to me. With what's been going on the past few days, it's hard to see a solid reason why prices should be higher today. It's disturbing.

If we lose one refinery for two or three weeks the sky's the limit (for oil prices).

Having one beneath Texas would be an unmitigated disaster.

It's going to take a long time before we know exactly how to look at this, what effect Katrina is having long-term. I would like to say for now at least the worst is behind us. What tomorrow brings, particularly on the weather front, remains to be seen. We're still in a tight situation.

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