86 ordspråk av Peter Beutel
Peter Beutel
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It's less than 30,000 barrels a day in a country that consumes 21 million. That's not even rearranging a single deck chair on the Titanic. But psychologically, it has some effect.
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I don't think it's going to stop prices from going where they want to go. Something needed to be done, and I think he did all he could. But much of it is symbolic.
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We don't know how much of the refinery is down or for how long. But not to negate the human tragedy, it happened at the worst time of the year seasonally. And it happens at a time the market is nervous and looking for reasons to go higher anyway.
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We're already in the position where every refinery unit is vital just to meet demand. We don't have any spare capacity. That's what it makes it so critical.
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I'm not forecasting these changes. These changes have already occurred at the wholesale level.
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It is a country interested in growing rapidly, and one of the big bottlenecks in its growth has been energy. If it was suddenly trying to buy 1.5 million barrels today, it'd sop up most of the surplus right now.
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People are not paying very close attention to it, ... At this point this market is just living and dying with every twist and turn of weather report -- we'll probably revisit it later but it's not important until we get Rita out of our systems.
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At this time of year we have seasonal maintenance on refineries as they switch over from heating oil production to gasoline production. Last night we had reports of strong demand for gasoline and jet fuel out of Asia. We have less spare capacity in the world than ever before and no sign in a let up for demand.
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Right away, nationwide, we're going to see an increase of gas prices of 12 cents. We'll see it almost everywhere by Tuesday. In addition, sometime between St. Patrick's Day and the end of the month, I expect to see an additional 12 cents. This is extraordinarily bad news for the consumer.
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It seems like we're going to have to rendezvous with the $50 level.
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One of the big problems is that it seems there's no supply to see us through the end of the year.
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There's tremendous potential for spikes we've never seen before.
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They would have to raise production by more than a million barrels a day to get it down to $25,
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Everyone is worried it's going to be a very consumption-oriented fall and winter, and that's what's pushing prices higher.
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Prices to me seem to be sick. I don't know if it's something to do with the economy. The fact that they're acting so sick, that they've fallen down and they can't get up is telling me that it may be something structural.
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