Hej! Mit navn er Pex!
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40 ordspråk av Michelle Clayman
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Earnings have been pretty astonishing, but the market hasn't always responded to that. I think people are feeling better about tech earnings in particular, but we still have worries about interest rates and what that might do to the recovery.
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Last week was down, so some of today is a reaction to that, with a bit of a bounce.
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The fundamentals are improving, so that's great, but there's always the risk after the run-up of the market being a bit tapped out.
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I think part of it is certainly a relief rally that the blackout is behind us.
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Until both the economic and corporate news start moving more consistently higher, you won't see another big move up for stocks.
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If we do go to war, probably as soon as the war begins the markets will take a lift, as they did in the Gulf War. If it's short and successful, the markets could rise, but if it's not -- or if there are nuclear, chemical or biological attacks -- it could be negative for the markets. It would be a huge blow to confidence.
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September tends to be the take-a-breather month, historically. I would guess the market over the next few weeks will be bound to a narrow trading range as companies begin to report earnings.
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We're also still getting support from the low interest rates. While Treasury yields are not as low today as they've been, they are still historically at a substantial low, and that lends support to equities.
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You have a number of issues, not the least of which is the upcoming [Fourth of July] holiday.
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Things have been so gloomy, (but) now many people sense the bottom is here and we'll start to drift upward.
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