39 ordspråk av Matthew Dowd

Matthew Dowd

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Once the Democratic nominee is all but assured, that person will receive a deluge of positive press at least for a couple of weeks, and this will be temporarily reflected in public opinion polls.

President Bush maintains an approval on the economy in the mid-forties -- exactly what Clinton had at the end of 1995 and above what Reagan had in 1983.

Former President Bush's approval on the economy at this same time in 1991 was 28 percent and fell to the mid-teens in 1992.

bad news for the Bush team and declared 'the sky is falling' once again.

The No. 1 driver for our base motivationally is this war.

When an issue dominates the landscape like this one will dominate the landscape, I think through this election and probably for a long time to come, it puts Republicans on a very good footing.

As the inevitable discussion proceeds in the months ahead, this memo should provide both perspective and a reality check. President Bush's approval numbers will again fall back to more realistic levels fairly quickly. All were quite successful on Election Day.

moderate buy that will get the message through.

Republicans only have to win home games. Democrats have to win all their home games and away games too. That's the difficulty.

[Republicans inadvertently tipped their hand on this point yesterday. During a conference call, Bush pollster-strategist Matthew Dowd said they're also airing a 60-second radio ad that resembles the anti-Kerry spot.] But ... it actually has a positive element to it as well.

We think it's important to remember what happened on 9/11 as we devise policies to address what happened, ... is a good ad, laying out the challenges this country's been through. We've had tremendously positive feedback. We're happy with the debate that the ad started, and we want to continue that. That's sort of how we see that.

There's a reason why the American public in poll after poll trusts this president more in fighting the war on terrorism than they do John Kerry. That's been true day after day after day in this campaign.

The Kerry campaign is working on their 16th negative ad.

Obviously, his look has a high degree of intensity.

The first vote is always the hardest.

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