69 ordspråk av Lynn Reaser

Lynn Reaser

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Although the job market is not yet strong enough to put much upward pressure on wages and productivity gains remain strong, the risk of higher inflation is slowly rising.

The service part of the economy continues to expand. There is also relief in the prices paid component from lower energy costs.

All the components are above the break-even point of 50. There is also relief in the prices paid component from lower energy costs along with easing in delivery time.

The most encouraging aspect of the report involves the continuing strong gain in technology output. We had been hoping to see the pendulum swing from the consumer to the business sector. This report suggests that is indeed taking place.

Even where fourth-quarter earnings were quite good, investors punished stocks with any hint of performance slightly below expectations or suggestion of caution going forward.

With economic fundamentals still quite positive, we believe the market's recent shift to a much more negative tone has probably been overdone.

The stock market now faces two primary risks. First, the economy could slow too much, which would jeopardize profit performance. Second, a strong rebound in stocks could stoke consumer spending and renew concerns about overheating and additional interest rate hikes,

They (investors) tend to overreact to individual economic reports which may be more statistical noise than an underlying trend which takes three to four months to develop, ... They tend to pay equal attention to almost any report that is relevant, and some are more significant than others.

We had expected a snap-back in consumer spending after a decline in May, and that's what these numbers showed, ... Consumers appeared to be optimistic in their spending, despite the stock market and the ongoing corporate frauds and malfeasance.

The Fed is likely to acknowledge some dampening in growth from rising energy costs. But it will suggest the underlying economy is solid and although inflation has been in check recently, there are upside risks going forward,

We're estimating underlying job growth around 190,000 (a month) and weekly jobless claims around 315,000, which suggests that the fundamental job market is sound -- not booming but fairly healthy,

The stock market now faces two primary risks. First, the economy could slow too much, which would jeopardize profit performance. Second, a strong rebound in stocks could stoke consumer spending and renew concerns about overheating and additional interest rate hikes.

We had expected a snap-back in consumer spending after a decline in May, and that's what these numbers showed. Consumers appeared to be optimistic in their spending, despite the stock market and the ongoing corporate frauds and malfeasance.

The Fed is likely to acknowledge some dampening in growth from rising energy costs. But it will suggest the underlying economy is solid and although inflation has been in check recently, there are upside risks going forward.

The housing boom in the United States is over. It, at this point, appears to be on the soft landing plane with sales slowing, some growth of inventory and sellers not receiving their full asking price.

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