94 ordspråk av John Silvia
John Silvia
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Labor costs were one of the key inflation concerns cited by Chairman (Alan) Greenspan in his latest testimony, ... Our outlook reinforces his concern.
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Going forward there is a sense of what are we trying to do here?
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They are all pretty well-known. They have all played in Washington circles.
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The recession was largely centered in the manufacturing sector, and that is where we continue to see the strongest signs of recovery.
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We avoided the sticker shock from high heating bills in October because it was so warm. If it stays warm through Thanksgiving, we should have a good holiday shopping season.
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People have adjusted faster than we expected to the way they use credit. This could be a signal that Christmas sales may be weaker than expected.
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It's a good number, and shows the economy continues to move ahead, ... What's great is that it's broad-based growth. All the basic components are showing forward motion, which is bullish going forward.
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If they don't move to a neutral position, the bond market will react negatively, ... If the Fed sits there and reiterates the same risk on inflation, the bond market is going to look at this and say the Fed is way behind the curve.
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They (the Fed governors) are going to follow the jobs report. They're not going to be proactive. They're going to be reactive to the data,
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He'll tackle the issues straight on, here's how I think how we got here, and here's you have to do. It'll be a real challenge to the politicians.
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It's good news for the economy, it's good news for the Fed and it's good news for corporate profits,
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If they don't move to a neutral position, the bond market will react negatively. If the Fed sits there and reiterates the same risk on inflation, the bond market is going to look at this and say the Fed is way behind the curve.
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They (the Fed governors) are going to follow the jobs report. They're not going to be proactive. They're going to be reactive to the data.
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It's a good number, and shows the economy continues to move ahead. What's great is that it's broad-based growth. All the basic components are showing forward motion, which is bullish going forward.
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The real challenge is that the inflation data have picked up and are simply too rapid for the Fed to declare the 'job done' [as far as interest rate increases].
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