159 ordspråk av Fadel Gheit

Fadel Gheit

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This is evidence that we really don't have to worry about shortages,

Speculators have no reason to scare people with shortages. And you can see this because futures are dropping and prices will continue to drop,

The drop in prices correlates with unusually high temperatures in the Northeast,

The market always overreacts. That's the nature of the beast. There's tremendous speculation both on the way up and on the way down,

The damage from Hurricane Rita has been significantly underreported.

When gas prices rise then discretionary driving is curtailed. People will think twice. I was just down south and everybody I talked to was carpooling.

I think OPEC is showing tremendous strength in keeping oil prices firm, but they cannot push it much further. If they do, they will have to contend with things that they do not want in the long run, like possible economic troubles.

OPEC really cannot extend this period much longer. OPEC wants to do what I call a soft landing, by easing supply back into the market slowly and not causing any shocks.

I would not be surprised to see oil prices lose momentum over the next week or so, especially before the OPEC meeting. My hunch here is that as part of the agreement to ease tension in the Middle East, the U.S. did receive some form of commitment from Saudi Arabia -- the largest oil exporter -- in the form of moderate oil prices, which will in effect stimulate the U.S. economy. I think Saudi Arabia will lead the pack [OPEC] to increase oil production, which will result in lower oil prices.

The market is therefore focused on two things: No additional supplies coming from OPEC. The other factor is that we should be entering what is a high demand period for oil products with the start of the summer season.

This is evidence that we really don't have to worry about shortages.

Speculators have no reason to scare people with shortages. And you can see this because futures are dropping and prices will continue to drop.

The drop in prices correlates with unusually high temperatures in the Northeast.

Every producer around the world is producing the marginal barrel to take advantage of high prices. Right now, OPEC is not holding back. But OPEC wants to have its cake and eat it, too.

They're on the right track, they're doing a good job, stay tuned. As long as we have $60-plus oil, I think they're all going to do well.

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