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Fadel Gheit

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The bulk of the replacement in the last three years was through acquisitions. The easy oil has been discovered.

We are entering the lowest demand period of the year sitting on huge levels of inventories.

All these alternative energy sources are unlikely to make a dent in the big picture. It's going to be many, many years into the future before we see any meaningful results. I don't think any real analysts or investors are betting the ranch on hydrogen.

Traders are using the conflict to push prices higher. Everybody now is hiding behind the umbrella of the Iran nuclear stalemate, but we have to remind ourselves that Iran cannot afford to stop its shipment of oil.

Until and unless the stalemate with Iran is resolved one way or the other, I think we're going to see prices higher.

What he's saying makes a lot of sense. Unfortunately, the source of the comment is going to send jitters in the market.

Given the current market fundamentals we expect average prices for both oil and gas this year to be significantly above 2005 record levels. As a result, we expect 2006 earnings to be above 2005 record levels.

You put all these headlines together, you see the situation is getting charged up and getting out of control. That's why oil traders and speculators are having a field day - this is exactly the kind of environment that speculators want to operate in.

Demand continues to be relatively strong. Supply remains tight. And the global economy seems to be doing OK. As they say, no harm, no foul.

The only weapon they can use is oil.

You put all these headlines together, you see the situation is getting charged up and getting out of control.

This global tension, led by the stalemate between Iran and the U.S., could lead to oil prices about $80. People are really afraid that something is going to happen, and soon.

This market has been driven by speculation.

I will say it will bring gasoline prices down substantially within two to three weeks. I would say by 20 cents at least or even more.

We think they're going to do a huge, huge second quarter. They're printing money, basically.

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