20 ordspråk av Edward Yardeni
Edward Yardeni
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In the last year, I thought we'd get to 7,600, which looked like a pretty far-fetched forecast back then. Now I think we can get to 8,500 by year end. I think there is still potential for the market to move a lot.
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Bond yields could jump and then stock markets open down around the world. But, then people would say, 'I'd better be in bonds,'
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We believe the equilibrium price of crude oil has risen from about $20 per barrel during the 1990s to at least $30 during the current decade. The fundamentals are solid for the energy sector. Energy represents 6 percent of the S&P 500 market cap -- in our opinion it should be double-weighted.
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Look for orders to rebound in May, reflecting broad-based recovery within the manufacturing sector.
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While the overall [ABC/Money] index lacks momentum, the electoral picture is turning more favorable for President Bush.
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I see a new merger deal announced every day, and M&A is one of the most profitable areas for investment banks.
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The question is how much does Yamaichi own?
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The question is how much does Yamaichi own?
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Forward earnings for small company stocks rose faster than bigger company ones last year, as they have for the past four years.
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The economy has remained remarkably robust as energy costs have soared since early 2004. Gasoline now accounts for only 3 percent of total personal consumption spending, down from 5 percent in 1981.
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[If so, it could only help stocks, which rise with cash flows, as we saw in the go-go 1990s.] You can't have go-go without flow-flow, ... It's always easy money that creates the speculative excesses in global booms.
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That could be bullish for the stock market if the household sector concludes that real estate is not the place for speculative gains any more.
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Their systems could be so disrupted that they can't go on with business. They can't export, they can't import. It's hard to place a phone call into Brazil. It's hard to get the parts from Taiwan. All that could add up to a global recession that could still impact our economy.
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The reality is that the economy is in great shape. It's created lots of good jobs?not bad jobs. We haven't created a whole bunch of hamburger flipping jobs.
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The average American's real income and consumption is the highest it's ever been.
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