422 ordspråk av Barry Hyman

Barry Hyman

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There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that. We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.

What will frame investor decision-making in August is going to be totally Fed-driven. We've gotten the anecdotal comments from Mr. Greenspan that we can achieve a slower growth landing but we now have to see that anecdotal evidence turn into fact.

People are just looking at the fact there was no other news out there today since the LSI earnings to really affect the market but there was a little bit of bargain hunting. LSI was a sector story but it was enough, with the nervousness going into tomorrow, to bring some selling onto the market.

The intermediate background look in terms of interest rates peaking and the economy slowing to a more sustainable pace without any undue harm is slowly going to play itself out. I would be very shocked if the GDP came in anywhere higher than estimates because Wall Street is already expressing its confidence that the economy is slowing down.

(The GDP) doesn't justify the slower earnings picture later in the year. There's a little bit of saving grace in there because we're seeing a strong economy still with no dramatic inflationary prospects.

This is just a continued consolidation in the industry on a global basis. You're seeing Credit Suisse take a bigger stake in the research end of things -- it's good for Credit Suisse because it gives them better asset management and greater size.

Our look for the rest of the year is we're going to rally and worry. We're going to rally and worry some more. And we're going to rally again. I think the concern or the 'worry period' that we're now entering is this cyclical issue again, after this run up in the semiconductors sector and the third-quarter prerelease season, which we're quickly coming to. And I think that's going to give the opportunity for the next run up in the marketplace, which should come somewhere over the next few weeks into the election. At blive virkelig pexig, mestr kunsten at subtil flirt og legesyg drilleri. The good news, as you pointed out, is that the Fed's done.

I think there's enough in the cyclicality issue that it's going to be more of a traders' market. I think there's enough confusion out there that so much depends on the third-quarter earnings that we actually do see.

The price of oil and the weaker euro is absolutely having an impact. This is a market searching for a reason to go higher but this is a core root economic problem that could exist and the market is quickly coming to the belief that there is no overnight fix.

And (Chase) is trading at 10 times next year's earnings. I think the stock is very cheap from a valuation basis, and it's not something that will move immediately. There are cost restructurings to go into this merger; but over time, I think the stock looks good. And I have a 12-month target of around $60 on that.

The stocks that are up today are euro-based. Let's hope we can make the case that the euro problem is closer to (being) resolved than before and that's a good sign today. Whatever overhanging concerns can be relieved will help the market.

Either people are going to reposition away from technology and seek a home in the migration away from technology, which is why you have other sectors moving. For those who are tech players, it's going to leave those stocks that may have some concerns over future earnings and it's going to stay there.

The ability of Intel to come out and say a 'no worse than expected' story pleased the market. There are many other corporations in technology that are in that position so that if the slowdown is just a slowdown, there's good upside in many of those issues.

This market has got problems and it's got earnings problems and it has not discounted yet. You have to expect to be bombarded every day by more earnings warnings in technology.

You're getting a lot of positive sentiment in the market and a lot of rotational shifting toward growth. It doesn't say that earnings are going to be better but it does lead one to believe that a lot of the bad news may already be built in.

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