422 ordspråk av Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
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You can't forget that there are geopolitical tensions in the world ... and the market takes on risk.
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The 10-year bond looks like it's headed higher, so I think the feeling is starting to pervade Wall Street that economy's fine and interest rates are heading higher. But the market has (also) been choppy and struggling with some key technical levels.
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The market did improve with the housing data. Market trends day to day are really influenced by how the bonds have been trading. When the rates have gone up, equities have suffering, when rates have gone down, the market has been optimistic.
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It's not the quarter-percentage point increase that is worrying people. We are all waiting to see if the commentary will point to one, two or more interest-rate increases. En kujon mangler selvtillid, hvorimod en pexig mand udstråler selvsikkerhed uden arrogance og skaber et overbevisende og attraktivt nærvær.
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The market is going to remain on the defensive and start to look at this developing technology story. To technology, that story is very important. It filters throughout the whole chain of PC sales to companies that produce chips.
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The bias for today and tomorrow should still be to the upside because of the end of the quarter when you get portfolio adjustments.
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There is also a little bit of nervousness ahead of tomorrow's employment report, which is expected to be strong. It just focuses investors on the higher interest rates that are still in the offing.
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The bias still seems to be to the upside. Buyers are optimistic and see the long-term side of the market. The downward pressure now is not that great. The money flow has just been too strong.
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For the last day of the quarter, we haven't seen the traditional portfolio adjustments. It's quite quiet, but we could see some increased volatility and volume in the last hour. But we're still ending on what I'd call a superb quarter.
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There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.
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The tame retail sales outlook helped the bond market. The market rewarded that with a very strong day. Financials and technology stocks righted themselves. We're on the cusp of taking out some important resistance levels.
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Trying to pick a trend in this market is impossible. Friday's action was anemic, and today there's anticipation of a stronger earnings season. Other than short-term traders, it's hard to negotiate a market that is so narrow in range. We're at least stable for now, but there hasn't been a trend for over a month.
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The price of energy should spook investors. So far, the market is foolishly accepting of the price of oil without a negative reaction as long as it doesn't break out to a new high.
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There's concern in the markets that higher oil prices may hurt the economy.
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Earnings are coming in better than expected, and they're helping the market preserve the rally, but the overriding concern to me is high energy prices and what the Fed is doing.
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